Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.0%Montana State

59.0%Eastern Washington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEastern Washington -1.3

PROJECTED TOTAL156.0

MODEL MONEYLINEEastern Washington -144

Eastern Washington

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 77

Projected Total156.0

Projected ScoreEastern Washington 79

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricEastern Washington

53.6MMH Power Index52.3

114.4Offensive Efficiency112.2

104.9Defensive Efficiency113.5

9.5Net Efficiency-1.3

-3.7Strength of Schedule1.8

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency12.0

68.1Tempo69.6

55.1%Effective FG%54.1%

14.7%Turnover Rate17.6%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate36.3%

6.5Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–52.3), offensive efficiency (114.4–112.2), defensive efficiency (104.9–113.5), net efficiency (9.5–-1.3).

Eastern Washington COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–-3.7), recent form (12.0–4.9), offensive rebounding (30.6–28.1).

Final

Montana State

104—108

Eastern Washington

Eastern Washington by 4 • 86.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATEastern Washington

36-74FG34-59

49.0%FG%58.0%

15-343PT7-24

44.0%3PT%29.0%

17-24FT33-37

71.0%FT%89.0%

31Rebounds35

11Offensive Rebounds6

20Assists19

11Turnovers16

9Steals5

1Blocks2

28Fouls23

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eddie Turner III	Guard	45	8-19	4-6	4-5	8	9	3	0	24
Brian Goracke	Forward	40	6-14	2-7	8-9	8	0	2	0	22
Robert Ford III	Guard	32	6-13	3-8	3-5	5	3	2	0	18
John Olmsted	Forward	29	7-8	1-1	0-3	4	3	0	0	15
Tyler Patterson	Guard	42	4-7	3-6	2-2	1	1	1	0	13
Brandon Walker	F	10	3-6	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	7
Sam Lecholat	Forward	20	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	3	0	1	3
Jed Miller	G	6	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Jaden Geron	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Eastern Washington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cedric Coward	Guard	31	8-12	4-8	3-3	10	2	0	0	23
LeJuan Watts	G	30	8-11	1-2	4-4	4	2	1	0	21
Jake Kyman	Guard	32	7-15	1-8	3-5	6	3	1	0	18
Casey Jones	G	34	3-6	0-0	10-12	4	4	1	0	16
Ethan Price	Forward	33	3-6	0-1	5-5	5	2	1	1	11
Ellis Magnuson	Guard	28	3-3	1-1	2-2	1	3	1	0	9
Dane Erikstrup	Forward	19	1-3	0-2	2-2	3	1	0	1	4
Mason Williams	G	8	0-2	0-2	4-4	0	2	0	0	4
Sebastian Hartmann	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

86.0Possessions86.0

120.9Offensive Efficiency125.6

125.6Defensive Efficiency120.9

-4.7Net Efficiency4.7

58.8%Effective FG%63.6%

60.9%True Shooting %70.5%

12.9%Turnover Rate18.5%

32.4%Free Throw Rate62.7%

45.9%3-Point Rate40.7%

1.82Assist / Turnover1.19

Game Summary

Eastern Washington won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 86.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.