Iowa

24-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.6%Iowa

38.4%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL143.4

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa -160

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIowa 73

Projected Total143.4

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 70

Team Comparison

IowaMetricNorthwestern

64.2MMH Power Index55.4

118.4Offensive Efficiency111.6

105.2Defensive Efficiency109.8

13.2Net Efficiency1.8

5.3Strength of Schedule5.6

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

63.0Tempo65.6

56.6%Effective FG%51.9%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.0%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.2%Free Throw Rate34.8%

8.3Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.2–55.4), offensive efficiency (118.4–111.6), defensive efficiency (105.2–109.8), net efficiency (13.2–1.8).

Northwestern COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–5.3), ball security (13.0–15.1).

Final

Iowa

87—80

Northwestern

Iowa by 7 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IowaTEAM STATNorthwestern

33-60FG28-52

55.0%FG%54.0%

10-203PT10-20

50.0%3PT%50.0%

11-13FT14-16

85.0%FT%88.0%

29Rebounds22

7Offensive Rebounds4

25Assists19

5Turnovers7

4Steals4

2Blocks2

14Fouls15

Player Box Score

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Dix	G	37	9-13	4-5	2-2	2	3	0	0	24
Payton Sandfort	Forward	37	7-14	4-8	5-5	5	6	0	0	23
Ben Krikke	Forward	30	5-6	0-0	2-2	3	1	2	2	12
Tony Perkins	Guard	37	4-14	1-3	1-1	4	14	1	0	10
Owen Freeman	F	20	4-5	0-0	1-1	6	1	1	0	9
Patrick McCaffery	Forward	20	2-2	1-1	0-2	2	0	0	0	5
Ladji Dembele	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Brock Harding	G	6	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Pryce Sandfort	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boo Buie	Guard	39	9-13	6-7	3-4	4	7	1	0	27
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	40	7-15	2-5	4-4	6	3	1	1	20
Nick Martinelli	F	40	6-13	1-5	4-4	2	2	1	0	17
Blake Smith	G	29	4-4	1-1	2-2	2	2	1	0	11
Blake Preston	Forward	10	1-1	0-0	1-2	0	1	0	0	3
Matthew Nicholson	Center	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	4	0	1	2
Luke Hunger	F	13	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Jordan Clayton	G	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

137.2Offensive Efficiency126.2

126.2Defensive Efficiency137.2

11.0Net Efficiency-11.0

63.3%Effective FG%63.5%

65.7%True Shooting %67.1%

7.8%Turnover Rate11.2%

21.7%Free Throw Rate30.8%

33.3%3-Point Rate38.5%

5.00Assist / Turnover2.71

Game Summary

Iowa won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.