Mississippi Valley State

3-30

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.5%Mississippi Valley State

94.5%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas-Pine Bluff -19.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas-Pine Bluff -1718

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMississippi Valley State 68

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 88

Team Comparison

Mississippi Valley StateMetricArkansas-Pine Bluff

17.7MMH Power Index38.7

91.1Offensive Efficiency106.4

117.8Defensive Efficiency111.6

-26.7Net Efficiency-5.2

-4.1Strength of Schedule-6.0

-17.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

70.5Tempo72.6

45.8%Effective FG%51.4%

21.8%Turnover Rate18.5%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %29.3%

34.5%Free Throw Rate37.7%

-18.8Average Margin-3.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas-Pine Bluff HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas-Pine Bluff holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.7–17.7), offensive efficiency (106.4–91.1), defensive efficiency (111.6–117.8), net efficiency (-5.2–-26.7).

Mississippi Valley State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.1–-6.0).

Final

Mississippi Valley State

69—78

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Arkansas-Pine Bluff by 9 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Mississippi Valley StateTEAM STATArkansas-Pine Bluff

26-62FG24-52

42.0%FG%46.0%

10-323PT14-29

31.0%3PT%48.0%

7-9FT16-20

78.0%FT%80.0%

32Rebounds36

8Offensive Rebounds6

17Assists24

15Turnovers14

8Steals9

3Blocks1

15Fouls9

Player Box Score

Mississippi Valley State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rayquan Brown	Guard	39	14-22	4-8	7-8	8	2	0	0	39
Donovan Sanders	Guard	35	5-15	2-10	0-1	6	4	3	0	12
Danny Washington	Guard	38	2-8	2-7	0-0	4	7	2	0	6
George Ivory III	G	5	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Reginald Reynolds	Forward	26	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	3	2	1	3
Arecko Gipson	Guard	26	1-5	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	1	2
Jordan Johnson	Guard	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Stephon Smith	Forward	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Quorien Waldon	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Ernest Minton	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Markell Petro	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Darrius Clark	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Walter Hamilton	Forward	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joe French	Guard	39	7-16	7-12	0-0	5	0	2	0	21
Rashad Williams	Guard	31	5-12	5-9	6-6	5	6	1	0	21
Ismael Plet	Forward	28	6-8	0-0	3-4	10	2	1	0	15
Kylen Milton	Guard	26	2-7	1-4	2-4	5	3	3	0	7
Robert Lewis	F	18	2-4	0-0	2-2	2	3	0	1	6
Trejon Ware	G	30	1-1	1-1	2-2	3	7	2	0	5
Caleb Stokes	Forward	4	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Lonnell Martin Jr.	Forward	19	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
Kaine McColley	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

96.6Offensive Efficiency109.2

109.2Defensive Efficiency96.6

-12.6Net Efficiency12.6

50.0%Effective FG%59.6%

52.1%True Shooting %63.4%

20.5%Turnover Rate20.1%

14.5%Free Throw Rate38.5%

51.6%3-Point Rate55.8%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Arkansas-Pine Bluff won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.