Kansas State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.8%Kansas State

89.2%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -14.4

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -826

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKansas State 69

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreCincinnati 84

Team Comparison

Kansas StateMetricCincinnati

47.1MMH Power Index61.5

107.8Offensive Efficiency105.3

110.9Defensive Efficiency97.3

-3.1Net Efficiency8.0

5.5Strength of Schedule5.1

-14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

73.8Tempo69.4

53.5%Effective FG%50.6%

17.4%Turnover Rate17.0%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

27.4%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-2.3Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–47.1), defensive efficiency (97.3–110.9), net efficiency (8.0–-3.1), recent form (14.4–-14.3).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.8–105.3), strength of schedule (5.5–5.1), shooting efficiency (53.5–50.6).

Final

Kansas State

72—74

Cincinnati

Cincinnati by 2 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Kansas StateTEAM STATCincinnati

21-50FG31-66

42.0%FG%47.0%

9-213PT8-21

43.0%3PT%38.0%

21-25FT4-8

84.0%FT%50.0%

37Rebounds27

12Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists17

19Turnovers6

3Steals11

4Blocks5

13Fouls19

Player Box Score

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tylor Perry	Guard	38	7-10	6-8	6-6	4	3	0	0	26
Jerrell Colbert	F	17	5-8	0-0	5-6	7	0	1	1	15
Cam Carter	Guard	38	4-11	2-6	3-3	4	1	1	0	13
Arthur Kaluma	Forward	36	2-11	0-5	3-6	6	3	0	2	7
David N'Guessan	Guard	33	1-4	0-0	2-2	6	2	1	1	4
Will McNair Jr.	Forward	22	1-3	0-0	2-2	7	2	0	0	4
Dai Dai Ames	G	14	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Dorian Finister	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Newman III	Forward	29	8-12	2-3	0-1	3	4	1	0	18
Day Day Thomas	G	32	6-11	2-5	0-0	0	5	4	0	14
Simas Lukosius	Guard	33	5-13	3-8	0-0	1	4	0	0	13
Jizzle James	G	28	5-11	0-2	0-0	1	4	1	0	10
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	28	2-5	0-0	2-2	8	0	3	2	6
Viktor Lakhin	Center	20	3-8	0-2	0-0	7	0	1	0	6
Jamille Reynolds	Forward	11	1-5	0-0	2-5	1	0	0	2	4
Josh Reed	F	19	1-1	1-1	0-0	3	0	1	1	3

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

106.8Offensive Efficiency109.8

109.8Defensive Efficiency106.8

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

51.0%Effective FG%53.0%

58.2%True Shooting %53.0%

27.6%Turnover Rate9.1%

50.0%Free Throw Rate12.1%

42.0%3-Point Rate31.8%

0.58Assist / Turnover2.83

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.