Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.6%Northern Kentucky

70.4%Wright State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWright State -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL161.2

MODEL MONEYLINEWright State -238

Wright State

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 78

Projected Total161.2

Projected ScoreWright State 84

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricWright State

53.9MMH Power Index57.1

114.9Offensive Efficiency116.4

107.1Defensive Efficiency106.5

7.8Net Efficiency9.9

-2.9Strength of Schedule-2.0

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

72.3Tempo69.2

54.5%Effective FG%55.2%

16.3%Turnover Rate16.1%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

37.1%Free Throw Rate38.3%

5.7Average Margin6.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wright State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWright State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–53.9), offensive efficiency (116.4–114.9), defensive efficiency (106.5–107.1), net efficiency (9.9–7.8).

Final

Northern Kentucky

88—94

Wright State

Wright State by 6 • 79.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATWright State

35-68FG32-59

51.0%FG%54.0%

8-253PT11-25

32.0%3PT%44.0%

10-16FT19-28

63.0%FT%68.0%

31Rebounds37

7Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists17

12Turnovers15

10Steals4

—Blocks2

22Fouls14

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Marques Warrick	Guard	38	15-23	5-10	4-5	2	1	1	39
Trey Robinson	Guard	38	8-15	0-1	4-5	9	0	4	20
Michael Bradley	Guard	37	5-9	1-3	0-2	4	5	2	11
LJ Wells	F	34	3-8	2-4	0-2	8	2	2	8
Randall Pettus II	G	25	2-6	0-4	2-2	5	1	0	6
Jeramiah Israel	Guard	21	2-6	0-3	0-0	0	1	1	4
Cesar Tchilombo	Forward	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Fiston Ipassou	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Wright State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Calvin	Guard	40	6-12	3-7	8-9	3	3	1	0	23
Brandon Noel	F	39	7-14	2-6	3-4	12	1	0	0	19
Alex Huibregtse	G	39	6-9	5-8	2-2	1	5	2	0	19
Tanner Holden	Guard	35	6-11	0-0	4-8	9	8	1	1	16
AJ Braun	Forward	25	5-8	0-0	2-4	8	0	0	1	12
Andrew Welage	Guard	8	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Logan Woods	G	13	1-3	0-2	0-1	2	0	0	0	2
Drey Carter	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.9Possessions79.9

110.1Offensive Efficiency117.6

117.6Defensive Efficiency110.1

-7.5Net Efficiency7.5

57.4%Effective FG%63.6%

58.2%True Shooting %65.0%

14.9%Turnover Rate18.9%

23.5%Free Throw Rate47.5%

36.8%3-Point Rate42.4%

0.83Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Wright State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 79.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.