UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.7%UC San Diego

53.3%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -114

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 78

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 79

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricCal State Northridge

53.4MMH Power Index50

108.4Offensive Efficiency107.3

100.7Defensive Efficiency105.2

7.7Net Efficiency2.1

-1.3Strength of Schedule-0.6

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

69.8Tempo75.9

53.1%Effective FG%51.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.3%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

33.2%Free Throw Rate34.7%

5.4Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–50.0), offensive efficiency (108.4–107.3), defensive efficiency (100.7–105.2), net efficiency (7.7–2.1).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-1.3), offensive rebounding (32.9–26.9), free throw rate (34.7–33.2).

Final

UC San Diego

79—69

Cal State Northridge

UC San Diego by 10 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATCal State Northridge

24-58FG29-64

41.0%FG%45.0%

10-253PT5-14

40.0%3PT%36.0%

21-28FT6-11

75.0%FT%55.0%

40Rebounds37

10Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists14

10Turnovers11

6Steals5

2Blocks4

14Fouls23

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Pope	Guard	39	10-20	4-8	5-7	5	5	1	0	29
Tyler McGhie	Guard	31	7-13	5-11	2-2	4	3	0	0	21
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	31	3-8	0-1	7-10	8	1	1	1	13
Francis Nwaokorie	Forward	28	3-6	1-3	3-5	7	0	1	0	10
J'Raan Brooks	Forward	21	1-6	0-1	2-2	6	0	0	1	4
Hayden Gray	Guard	37	0-5	0-1	2-2	5	5	3	0	2
Emmanuel Tshimanga	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Camden McCormick	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keonte Jones	G	39	8-12	2-3	1-4	8	2	1	3	19
De'Sean Allen-Eikens	Forward	35	6-14	1-5	4-4	7	2	2	0	17
Gianni Hunt	G	36	5-12	1-3	1-1	5	6	2	0	12
Dionte Bostick	Guard	37	4-12	1-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	9
Jasman Sangha	Forward	19	4-6	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	8
Dearon Tucker	Center	8	1-4	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	2
Mahmoud Fofana	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Bryan Ndjonga	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jared Barnett	Guard	9	0-2	0-0	0-1	2	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

110.0Offensive Efficiency96.1

96.1Defensive Efficiency110.0

13.9Net Efficiency-13.9

50.0%Effective FG%49.2%

55.4%True Shooting %49.8%

14.0%Turnover Rate15.2%

48.3%Free Throw Rate17.2%

43.1%3-Point Rate21.9%

1.40Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.