Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.9%Northern Colorado

41.1%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -143

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 80

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreIdaho State 78

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricIdaho State

53.7MMH Power Index45.9

116.0Offensive Efficiency111.0

107.6Defensive Efficiency113.4

8.4Net Efficiency-2.4

-4.3Strength of Schedule0.2

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

71.1Tempo67.1

56.9%Effective FG%52.2%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.5%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

27.8%Free Throw Rate39.1%

6.0Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–45.9), offensive efficiency (116.0–111.0), defensive efficiency (107.6–113.4), net efficiency (8.4–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-4.3), offensive rebounding (33.9–27.9), free throw rate (39.1–27.8).

Final

Northern Colorado

81—79

Idaho State

Northern Colorado by 2 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATIdaho State

30-50FG29-60

60.0%FG%48.0%

10-203PT8-22

50.0%3PT%36.0%

11-13FT13-18

85.0%FT%72.0%

29Rebounds20

5Offensive Rebounds5

17Assists16

19Turnovers7

5Steals13

4Blocks6

17Fouls9

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Saint Thomas	Forward	39	11-17	4-7	2-3	12	8	1	1	28
Brock Wisne	F	27	6-7	1-2	0-0	5	1	0	1	13
Jaron Rillie	Guard	36	5-10	0-3	1-1	7	6	3	0	11
Riley Abercrombie	Forward	22	3-7	3-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Zach Bloch	G	26	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	6
Dejour Reaves	G	21	1-4	0-1	4-4	0	0	1	0	6
Theo Hughes	Center	13	2-3	0-0	2-3	1	0	0	1	6
Langston Reynolds	G	16	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	1	2

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Maleek Arington	G	40	8-14	1-3	6-7	1	1	4	0	23
Brayden Parker	Center	36	7-13	2-7	3-3	3	2	2	2	19
Miguel Tomley	Guard	30	5-12	4-8	1-2	4	4	2	0	15
Kiree Huie	F	34	5-11	0-0	1-3	4	4	3	4	11
Isaiah Griffin	F	26	2-3	0-0	2-2	4	4	0	0	6
AJ Burgin	Guard	24	2-7	1-4	0-1	4	1	2	0	5
Briggs Ranstrom	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Trent Johnson	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

115.1Offensive Efficiency112.2

112.2Defensive Efficiency115.1

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

70.0%Effective FG%55.0%

72.1%True Shooting %57.6%

27.1%Turnover Rate9.9%

26.0%Free Throw Rate30.0%

40.0%3-Point Rate36.7%

0.89Assist / Turnover2.29

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.