Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

48.4%Tarleton State

51.6%Southern Utah

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Utah -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Utah -107

Southern Utah

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 77

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreSouthern Utah 77

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricSouthern Utah

44.6MMH Power Index40.6

103.2Offensive Efficiency105.6

101.6Defensive Efficiency110.0

1.6Net Efficiency-4.4

-2.3Strength of Schedule-3.0

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.3

72.2Tempo72.3

49.0%Effective FG%52.6%

19.9%Turnover Rate19.6%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

42.8%Free Throw Rate34.4%

1.1Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tarleton State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTarleton State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–40.6), defensive efficiency (101.6–110.0), net efficiency (1.6–-4.4), strength of schedule (-2.3–-3.0).

Southern Utah COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (105.6–103.2), recent form (-3.3–-6.7), shooting efficiency (52.6–49.0).

Final

Tarleton State

88—83

Southern Utah

Tarleton State by 5 • 71.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATSouthern Utah

33-64FG28-57

52.0%FG%49.0%

5-143PT9-21

36.0%3PT%43.0%

17-20FT18-22

85.0%FT%82.0%

31Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists15

9Turnovers16

11Steals6

4Blocks5

18Fouls20

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jakorie Smith	Forward	34	7-18	2-5	6-6	5	1	3	0	22
KiAndre Gaddy	Forward	33	8-11	0-0	2-3	8	0	2	2	18
Lue Williams	Guard	33	6-11	1-2	2-2	3	1	1	0	15
Adam Moussa	Guard	27	5-10	1-2	2-2	2	6	2	1	13
Emmanuel Innocenti	G	37	3-7	1-3	2-3	6	3	2	0	9
Devon Barnes	G	16	2-3	0-1	3-3	0	1	0	0	7
Traivar Jackson	F	13	2-3	0-0	0-1	2	1	0	1	4
Izzy Miles	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Southern Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zion Young	Guard	35	8-16	5-8	8-12	3	0	0	0	29
Dominique Ford	G	33	4-9	2-5	6-6	4	3	1	0	16
Prophet Johnson	G	25	6-12	0-2	2-2	3	2	2	0	14
Chazz Hutchison	Forward	20	5-5	0-0	2-2	9	2	0	2	12
Robert Jeter	Point Guard	26	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	4	0	0	6
Braden Housley	G	30	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	3	1	0	4
Brock Felder	F	20	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	3	2
Nestor Dyachok	F	11	0-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.5Possessions71.5

123.1Offensive Efficiency116.1

116.1Defensive Efficiency123.1

7.0Net Efficiency-7.0

55.5%Effective FG%57.0%

59.9%True Shooting %61.5%

12.8%Turnover Rate22.1%

31.3%Free Throw Rate38.6%

21.9%3-Point Rate36.8%

1.44Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

Tarleton State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 71.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.