UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.9%UC Santa Barbara

57.1%Cal State Fullerton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL161.4

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -133

Cal State Fullerton

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 80

Projected Total161.4

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 82

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricCal State Fullerton

51.4MMH Power Index49.4

113.2Offensive Efficiency108.8

106.1Defensive Efficiency107.1

7.1Net Efficiency1.7

-2.0Strength of Schedule-1.2

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.7

68.5Tempo76.3

54.8%Effective FG%52.6%

18.7%Turnover Rate15.1%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %25.5%

37.9%Free Throw Rate39.6%

4.8Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–49.4), offensive efficiency (113.2–108.8), defensive efficiency (106.1–107.1), net efficiency (7.1–1.7).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-2.0), recent form (2.7–-1.7), ball security (15.1–18.7).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

70—79

Cal State Fullerton

Cal State Fullerton by 9 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATCal State Fullerton

25-54FG29-58

46.0%FG%50.0%

7-203PT8-24

35.0%3PT%33.0%

13-19FT13-18

68.0%FT%72.0%

29Rebounds36

5Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists7

12Turnovers11

3Steals10

1Blocks4

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Pierre-Louis	Guard	38	9-16	1-3	5-7	4	5	0	0	24
Cole Anderson	Guard	39	4-10	4-9	2-2	4	2	1	0	14
Ajay Mitchell	Guard	35	5-9	0-2	2-3	3	4	1	0	12
Yohan Traore	F	29	4-6	0-0	3-6	5	0	0	0	11
Jason Fontenet II	G	31	3-7	2-4	1-1	6	1	1	0	9
Matija Belic	F	14	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Ariel Bland	F	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Ben Shtolzberg	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Brewton	Guard	33	12-23	4-7	2-5	6	2	2	0	30
Antwan Robinson	Guard	29	5-8	2-4	0-0	4	1	2	0	12
Donovan Oday	G	27	5-7	1-3	1-1	4	2	3	0	12
John Mikey Square	Not Available	17	1-1	0-0	5-5	2	0	0	0	7
Grayson Carper	Guard	31	1-4	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	1	3
Vincent Lee	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	2
Kendrick De Luna	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Zachary Visentin	Center	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

100.3Offensive Efficiency113.2

113.2Defensive Efficiency100.3

-12.9Net Efficiency12.9

52.8%Effective FG%56.9%

55.5%True Shooting %59.4%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.8%

35.2%Free Throw Rate31.0%

37.0%3-Point Rate41.4%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.