Northern Iowa

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.1%Northern Iowa

44.9%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL135.8

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -123

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 68

Projected Total135.8

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 68

Team Comparison

Northern IowaMetricSouthern Illinois

61MMH Power Index54.6

108.4Offensive Efficiency103.4

96.4Defensive Efficiency98.5

12.0Net Efficiency4.9

2.2Strength of Schedule1.6

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

64.1Tempo70.6

54.6%Effective FG%49.5%

14.4%Turnover Rate17.0%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

26.2%Free Throw Rate32.3%

7.7Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–54.6), offensive efficiency (108.4–103.4), defensive efficiency (96.4–98.5), net efficiency (12.0–4.9).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.1–21.9), free throw rate (32.3–26.2).

Final

Northern Iowa

82—70

Southern Illinois

Northern Iowa by 12 • 64.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IowaTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

25-51FG23-59

49.0%FG%39.0%

7-163PT7-24

44.0%3PT%29.0%

25-33FT17-20

76.0%FT%85.0%

35Rebounds34

9Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists15

6Turnovers9

7Steals3

5Blocks4

20Fouls22

Player Box Score

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bowen Born	Guard	28	5-11	2-4	7-8	3	2	1	0	19
Jacob Hutson	Center	29	5-10	3-5	2-4	5	1	0	3	15
Tytan Anderson	Guard	27	3-5	1-1	8-11	3	2	0	0	15
Trey Campbell	G	30	3-8	1-4	4-4	6	3	4	0	11
Nate Heise	G	33	3-9	0-1	1-2	6	3	2	1	7
Michael Duax	F	11	2-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	5
Landon Wolf	G	18	1-1	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
RJ Taylor	G	11	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Cole Henry	Forward	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Kyle Pock	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	40	7-20	0-4	10-12	7	6	1	0	24
Troy D'Amico	Forward	36	5-9	3-7	4-4	3	6	1	0	17
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	19	3-9	2-4	2-2	2	0	1	3	10
Scottie Ebube	C	14	4-6	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	9
AJ Ferguson	Guard	34	3-5	2-4	0-0	9	0	0	0	8
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	24	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	0	2
Trent Brown	Guard	24	0-6	0-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Clarence Rupert	Forward	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.6Possessions64.6

126.9Offensive Efficiency108.4

108.4Defensive Efficiency126.9

18.6Net Efficiency-18.6

55.9%Effective FG%44.9%

61.5%True Shooting %51.1%

9.4%Turnover Rate13.7%

64.7%Free Throw Rate33.9%

31.4%3-Point Rate40.7%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 64.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.