UIC

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.9%UIC

47.1%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUIC -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUIC -112

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUIC 74

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreMissouri State 74

Team Comparison

UICMetricMissouri State

56.7MMH Power Index51.1

110.5Offensive Efficiency110.5

103.3Defensive Efficiency108.4

7.2Net Efficiency2.1

0.1Strength of Schedule0.5

9.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

68.3Tempo67.9

50.9%Effective FG%51.8%

17.6%Turnover Rate16.4%

36.8%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

37.2%Free Throw Rate42.9%

4.9Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UIC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUIC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.7–51.1), defensive efficiency (103.3–108.4), net efficiency (7.2–2.1), recent form (9.2–-2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–0.1), shooting efficiency (51.8–50.9), ball security (16.4–17.6).

Final

UIC

59—69

Missouri State

Missouri State by 10 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UICTEAM STATMissouri State

20-56FG26-66

36.0%FG%39.0%

8-273PT5-17

30.0%3PT%29.0%

11-17FT12-17

65.0%FT%71.0%

30Rebounds50

7Offensive Rebounds18

10Assists15

13Turnovers14

7Steals4

6Blocks5

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

UIC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Toby Okani	Guard	32	5-10	2-5	2-4	7	2	3	3	14
Isaiah Rivera	Guard	35	3-8	1-4	5-6	6	1	1	0	12
Filip Skobalj	Not Available	34	4-4	4-4	0-0	6	2	1	0	12
CJ Jones	G	37	4-14	1-4	1-2	3	3	1	1	10
Marquise Kennedy	Guard	11	2-5	0-0	1-3	0	0	1	0	5
Steven Clay	G	16	1-4	0-3	2-2	1	0	0	2	4
Ethan Pickett	G	17	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Cameron Fens	C	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matthew Lee	Guard	31	4-9	2-3	2-2	4	4	0	0	12
Cesare Edwards	Center	13	5-5	0-0	2-2	1	1	1	1	12
Chance Moore	G	29	3-8	1-4	4-5	7	1	1	1	11
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	30	4-11	0-0	2-2	11	1	1	1	10
NJ Benson	F	15	4-6	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	9
Donovan Clay	Guard	37	3-14	1-4	1-4	12	4	0	2	8
Raphe Ayres	Guard	13	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Alston Mason	Guard	21	1-9	0-4	0-0	1	4	0	0	2
Dawson Carper	Forward	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

84.2Offensive Efficiency98.4

98.4Defensive Efficiency84.2

-14.3Net Efficiency14.3

42.9%Effective FG%43.2%

46.0%True Shooting %46.6%

18.6%Turnover Rate20.0%

30.4%Free Throw Rate25.8%

48.2%3-Point Rate25.8%

0.77Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.