Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.6%Murray State

37.4%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL159.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -167

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 81

Projected Total159.1

Projected ScoreIndiana State 78

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricIndiana State

53.6MMH Power Index44.4

115.0Offensive Efficiency104.7

111.0Defensive Efficiency106.0

4.0Net Efficiency-1.3

3.5Strength of Schedule0.1

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

72.3Tempo70.3

54.0%Effective FG%53.6%

16.3%Turnover Rate19.5%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

39.1%Free Throw Rate28.8%

2.9Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–44.4), offensive efficiency (115.0–104.7), net efficiency (4.0–-1.3), strength of schedule (3.5–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–111.0), recent form (-5.2–-9.5).

Final

Murray State

77—89

Indiana State

Indiana State by 12 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATIndiana State

28-62FG28-46

45.0%FG%61.0%

7-183PT11-20

39.0%3PT%55.0%

14-16FT22-23

88.0%FT%96.0%

28Rebounds26

11Offensive Rebounds2

6Assists14

8Turnovers12

6Steals5

—Blocks2

20Fouls12

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Quincy Anderson	Guard	33	10-19	3-5	2-3	3	0	1	25
Rob Perry	Guard	28	5-13	2-4	2-2	7	1	0	14
Alden Applewhite	F	24	3-4	2-3	5-5	1	0	0	13
Nick Ellington	F	28	3-8	0-0	1-2	6	1	1	7
JaCobi Wood	Guard	34	1-7	0-3	4-4	2	1	1	6
Lawrent Rice	Guard	18	3-4	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	6
Malek Abdelgowad	F	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	4
Justin Morgan	Guard	16	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	2	2
Brian Moore Jr.	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0
Patrick Chew	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	38	7-10	6-7	4-4	12	3	1	0	24
Robbie Avila	C	35	8-10	0-1	7-7	3	4	0	1	23
Isaiah Swope	Guard	39	4-7	3-5	3-3	1	3	1	0	14
Jayson Kent	Forward	32	4-8	0-2	6-6	4	0	0	1	14
Julian Larry	Guard	32	3-5	0-0	2-3	1	4	2	0	8
Xavier Bledson	Guard	14	2-5	2-4	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Jake Wolfe	Guard	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

115.3Offensive Efficiency133.2

133.2Defensive Efficiency115.3

-18.0Net Efficiency18.0

50.8%Effective FG%72.8%

55.3%True Shooting %78.2%

12.0%Turnover Rate17.9%

25.8%Free Throw Rate50.0%

29.0%3-Point Rate43.5%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.