Nicholls

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.7%Nicholls

56.3%Northwestern State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL141.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern State -129

Northwestern State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNicholls 69

Projected Total141.2

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 72

Team Comparison

NichollsMetricNorthwestern State

43.6MMH Power Index41.3

105.3Offensive Efficiency104.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency109.0

-3.7Net Efficiency-5.0

-0.4Strength of Schedule-1.6

-4.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

68.7Tempo63.6

51.0%Effective FG%49.5%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.6%

28.5%Offensive Rebound %27.1%

35.3%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-2.5Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Nicholls HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNicholls holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–41.3), offensive efficiency (105.3–104.0), net efficiency (-3.7–-5.0), strength of schedule (-0.4–-1.6).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (41.2–35.3).

Final

Nicholls

68—62

Northwestern State

Nicholls by 6 • 62.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NichollsTEAM STATNorthwestern State

21-46FG19-56

46.0%FG%34.0%

9-213PT5-15

43.0%3PT%33.0%

17-22FT19-28

77.0%FT%68.0%

31Rebounds39

4Offensive Rebounds16

10Assists11

11Turnovers8

4Steals4

6Blocks2

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

Nicholls

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rob Brown III	G	38	8-13	5-7	0-0	3	1	0	0	21
Diante Smith	Forward	35	5-16	3-8	5-6	9	2	0	0	18
Byron Ireland	Guard	39	4-8	1-3	3-4	3	4	2	0	12
Jamal West Jr.	F	36	2-5	0-2	4-4	6	2	0	6	8
Oumar Koureissi	F	20	1-2	0-1	4-6	6	0	0	0	6
Quinn Strander	Guard	22	1-2	0-0	1-2	2	1	2	0	3
Michael Gray Jr.	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mekhi Collins	Not Available	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braelon Bush	G	35	5-14	1-3	4-4	1	3	1	0	15
Cliff Davis	G	34	4-11	3-7	0-0	7	1	0	0	11
Justin Wilson	Forward	28	2-6	0-0	6-9	7	0	1	0	10
J.C. Riley Jr.	F	10	2-3	0-0	4-4	1	0	0	1	8
Jimel Lane	F	27	3-7	0-1	0-0	8	0	0	1	6
Duane Posey	G	10	1-6	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	0	5
Chase Forte	G	31	1-3	0-1	2-6	1	7	1	0	4
Jae Slack	F	13	1-5	1-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Chris Mubiru	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.4Possessions62.4

109.0Offensive Efficiency99.4

99.4Defensive Efficiency109.0

9.6Net Efficiency-9.6

55.4%Effective FG%38.4%

60.2%True Shooting %44.7%

17.3%Turnover Rate13.1%

47.8%Free Throw Rate50.0%

45.7%3-Point Rate26.8%

0.91Assist / Turnover1.38

Game Summary

Nicholls won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 62.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.