Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

79.6%Northern Colorado

20.4%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -8.2

PROJECTED TOTAL156.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -390

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 82

Projected Total156.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 74

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricNorthern Arizona

53.7MMH Power Index36.9

116.0Offensive Efficiency107.1

107.6Defensive Efficiency114.8

8.4Net Efficiency-7.7

-4.3Strength of Schedule-1.8

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

71.1Tempo66.6

56.9%Effective FG%53.5%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.8%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

27.8%Free Throw Rate33.6%

6.0Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–36.9), offensive efficiency (116.0–107.1), defensive efficiency (107.6–114.8), net efficiency (8.4–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-4.3), free throw rate (33.6–27.8).

Final

Northern Colorado

82—74

Northern Arizona

Northern Colorado by 8 • 68.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

35-56FG29-60

63.0%FG%48.0%

2-93PT6-23

22.0%3PT%26.0%

10-12FT10-13

83.0%FT%77.0%

25Rebounds31

—Offensive Rebounds8

19Assists16

5Turnovers12

10Steals4

1Blocks1

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Saint Thomas	Forward	37	8-16	0-4	4-4	10	6	2	0	20
Dejour Reaves	G	28	7-12	1-3	0-1	2	6	4	0	15
Theo Hughes	Center	21	5-5	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	1	11
Brock Wisne	F	19	5-7	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	10
Jaron Rillie	Guard	26	4-6	0-0	1-1	0	3	1	0	9
Langston Reynolds	G	23	4-7	0-0	0-0	0	3	2	0	8
Zach Bloch	G	29	1-1	1-1	4-4	2	0	0	0	7
Riley Abercrombie	Forward	17	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	2

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	37	7-15	3-8	2-2	3	1	1	0	19
Jayden Jackson	G	27	4-5	0-0	4-5	6	1	1	0	12
Oakland Fort	G	33	5-11	0-4	1-1	2	7	0	0	11
Carson Basham	Forward	32	4-9	0-1	2-4	7	1	1	0	10
Arman Madi	G	15	3-4	2-2	0-0	3	2	0	1	8
Liam Lloyd	Guard	21	2-8	1-5	0-0	3	3	0	0	5
Diego Campisano	F	15	2-4	0-2	1-1	3	1	1	0	5
Ryan Abelman	G	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Rockwell Reynolds	Forward	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Kai	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
C.J. Ford	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.5Possessions68.5

119.7Offensive Efficiency108.0

108.0Defensive Efficiency119.7

11.7Net Efficiency-11.7

64.3%Effective FG%53.3%

66.5%True Shooting %55.9%

7.5%Turnover Rate17.1%

21.4%Free Throw Rate21.7%

16.1%3-Point Rate38.3%

3.80Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.