Weber State

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%Weber State

70.8%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL156.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -242

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWeber State 75

Projected Total156.9

Projected ScoreMontana State 82

Team Comparison

Weber StateMetricMontana State

50.2MMH Power Index53.6

113.6Offensive Efficiency114.4

108.2Defensive Efficiency104.9

5.4Net Efficiency9.5

-3.4Strength of Schedule-3.7

-1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

71.5Tempo68.1

52.6%Effective FG%55.1%

15.5%Turnover Rate14.7%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

38.3%Free Throw Rate30.7%

3.9Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–50.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–113.6), defensive efficiency (104.9–108.2), net efficiency (9.5–5.4).

Weber State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.4–-3.7), offensive rebounding (32.6–28.1), free throw rate (38.3–30.7).

Final

Weber State

64—76

Montana State

Montana State by 12 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Weber StateTEAM STATMontana State

27-60FG29-55

45.0%FG%53.0%

4-173PT13-27

24.0%3PT%48.0%

6-8FT5-8

75.0%FT%63.0%

30Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds5

7Assists22

9Turnovers12

7Steals6

1Blocks3

13Fouls11

Player Box Score

Weber State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dillon Jones	Forward	38	9-14	1-2	5-5	9	3	3	1	24
Steven Verplancken	Guard	32	5-10	2-5	0-0	7	1	0	0	12
Blaise Threatt	Guard	23	5-15	0-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	10
KJ Cunningham	Guard	18	4-7	0-2	0-0	0	2	0	0	8
Alex Tew	Center	28	2-5	0-0	1-3	2	0	0	0	5
Viljami Vartiainen	G	16	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Louie Jordan	F	2	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Dyson Koehler	Forward	32	0-3	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Handje Tamba	C	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	0	0
Marko Šarenac	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
John Olmsted	Forward	22	6-7	1-1	2-3	5	5	0	0	15
Brian Goracke	Forward	28	4-8	3-6	2-2	5	1	0	1	13
Tyler Patterson	Guard	37	4-8	4-8	0-0	0	0	0	0	12
Robert Ford III	Guard	25	5-10	2-5	0-1	9	4	5	0	12
Sam Lecholat	Forward	24	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	2	6
Jed Miller	G	18	2-4	2-3	0-0	5	3	1	0	6
Eddie Turner III	Guard	30	2-5	1-3	0-0	3	6	0	0	5
Brandon Walker	F	15	2-8	0-1	1-2	1	1	0	0	5
Carter Ash	Guard	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

97.3Offensive Efficiency115.5

115.5Defensive Efficiency97.3

-18.2Net Efficiency18.2

48.3%Effective FG%64.5%

50.2%True Shooting %64.6%

13.7%Turnover Rate18.2%

13.3%Free Throw Rate14.5%

28.3%3-Point Rate49.1%

0.78Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Montana State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.