Virginia Tech

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.4%Virginia Tech

82.6%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -11.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.4

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -475

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVirginia Tech 73

Projected Total158.4

Projected ScoreLouisville 85

Team Comparison

Virginia TechMetricLouisville

57.7MMH Power Index67.1

112.8Offensive Efficiency118.6

107.2Defensive Efficiency102.2

5.6Net Efficiency16.4

5.8Strength of Schedule6.0

-3.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

69.8Tempo71.0

52.3%Effective FG%56.9%

14.9%Turnover Rate16.8%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

34.7%Free Throw Rate34.1%

3.9Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–57.7), offensive efficiency (118.6–112.8), defensive efficiency (102.2–107.2), net efficiency (16.4–5.6).

Virginia Tech COUNTERS WITHball security (14.9–16.8), free throw rate (34.7–34.1).

Final

Virginia Tech

80—64

Louisville

Virginia Tech by 16 • 66.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Virginia TechTEAM STATLouisville

27-56FG25-55

48.0%FG%45.0%

13-293PT9-23

45.0%3PT%39.0%

13-19FT5-11

68.0%FT%45.0%

34Rebounds31

7Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists11

8Turnovers14

10Steals4

1Blocks—

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Virginia Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sean Pedulla	Guard	34	4-6	1-3	6-7	5	7	2	0	15
MJ Collins Jr.	G	38	5-11	3-6	0-0	5	4	2	0	13
Tyler Nickel	F	19	5-11	3-8	0-0	2	0	0	0	13
Robbie Beran	Forward	32	4-8	4-7	0-2	6	3	1	1	12
Lynn Kidd	Center	18	4-7	0-0	3-6	9	0	1	0	11
Hunter Cattoor	Guard	32	2-5	1-3	2-2	3	0	2	0	7
Mylyjael Poteat	Forward	9	2-3	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	0	6
Jaydon Young	G	8	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Patrick Wessler	C	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
John Camden	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield	Forward	30	8-13	1-1	2-5	5	1	0	19
Mike James	G	34	6-13	3-7	1-1	4	1	1	16
Ty-Laur Johnson	G	27	4-7	2-4	0-1	1	4	1	10
Zan Payne	Guard	19	2-3	2-3	0-0	6	0	0	6
Kaleb Glenn	F	26	2-4	0-1	1-2	8	0	1	5
Curtis Williams Jr.	G	8	1-6	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	3
Tre White	G	28	1-6	0-2	0-0	5	1	0	2
Danilo Jovanovich	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	2
Emmanuel Okorafor	F	5	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1
Skyy Clark	G	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	0
Aidan McCool	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.6Possessions66.6

120.1Offensive Efficiency96.1

96.1Defensive Efficiency120.1

24.0Net Efficiency-24.0

59.8%Effective FG%53.6%

61.5%True Shooting %53.1%

12.1%Turnover Rate20.8%

33.9%Free Throw Rate20.0%

51.8%3-Point Rate41.8%

1.88Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Virginia Tech won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 66.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.