Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.8%Providence

55.2%Georgetown

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGeorgetown -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL152.6

MODEL MONEYLINEGeorgetown -123

Georgetown

13-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 75

Projected Total152.6

Projected ScoreGeorgetown 78

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricGeorgetown

54.2MMH Power Index51.5

115.0Offensive Efficiency107.2

113.2Defensive Efficiency107.4

1.8Net Efficiency-0.2

4.0Strength of Schedule4.4

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.8

74.2Tempo61.7

55.0%Effective FG%49.2%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

37.3%Free Throw Rate38.3%

1.3Average Margin-0.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–51.5), offensive efficiency (115.0–107.2), net efficiency (1.8–-0.2), recent form (-1.3–-4.8).

Georgetown COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.4–113.2), strength of schedule (4.4–4.0), ball security (16.4–16.7).

Final

Providence

71—58

Georgetown

Providence by 13 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATGeorgetown

27-55FG20-57

49.0%FG%35.0%

9-273PT4-20

33.0%3PT%20.0%

8-11FT14-19

73.0%FT%74.0%

38Rebounds33

8Offensive Rebounds11

19Assists6

14Turnovers10

7Steals9

7Blocks2

18Fouls13

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Carter	Guard	38	9-17	3-9	3-4	12	3	4	1	24
Josh Oduro	Forward	36	5-8	0-0	4-4	9	2	1	1	14
Rich Barron	F	21	4-7	3-5	0-0	2	1	0	1	11
Ticket Gaines	Guard	37	3-9	1-6	1-1	3	5	0	1	8
Jayden Pierre	G	27	3-5	2-3	0-0	4	3	1	1	8
Garwey Dual	G	17	3-6	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	2	6
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	20	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	3	1	0	0
Rafael Castro	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	1	0	0	0

Georgetown

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Epps	G	38	6-19	2-7	2-3	3	1	4	1	16
Dontrez Styles	Guard	40	4-10	1-5	4-4	8	0	1	0	13
Rowan Brumbaugh	G	27	2-5	0-0	6-7	3	2	3	0	10
Drew Fielder	F	24	4-10	1-3	1-2	4	0	0	1	10
Supreme Cook	Not Available	16	3-5	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	7
Ismael Massoud	Forward	15	1-3	0-1	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Wayne Bristol Jr.	Guard	24	0-2	0-2	0-0	4	1	1	0	0
Jay Heath	Guard	15	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Austin Montgomery	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

108.2Offensive Efficiency88.4

88.4Defensive Efficiency108.2

19.8Net Efficiency-19.8

57.3%Effective FG%38.6%

58.9%True Shooting %43.9%

21.1%Turnover Rate15.4%

20.0%Free Throw Rate33.3%

49.1%3-Point Rate35.1%

1.36Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

Providence won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.