Ohio

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.2%Ohio

66.8%Buffalo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -201

Buffalo

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio 77

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScoreBuffalo 82

Team Comparison

OhioMetricBuffalo

48MMH Power Index49.7

109.7Offensive Efficiency114.9

110.7Defensive Efficiency112.2

-1.0Net Efficiency2.7

-0.1Strength of Schedule0.0

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

71.0Tempo67.9

52.0%Effective FG%56.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.1%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

37.8%Free Throw Rate40.4%

-0.7Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–48.0), offensive efficiency (114.9–109.7), net efficiency (2.7–-1.0), strength of schedule (0.0–-0.1).

Ohio COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.7–112.2), recent form (-1.0–-5.9), ball security (15.3–16.1).

Final

Ohio

78—66

Buffalo

Ohio by 12 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OhioTEAM STATBuffalo

27-57FG22-50

47.0%FG%44.0%

14-333PT6-19

42.0%3PT%32.0%

10-15FT16-24

67.0%FT%67.0%

27Rebounds36

5Offensive Rebounds8

19Assists14

12Turnovers18

12Steals9

1Blocks4

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Clayton	Forward	31	8-15	7-13	0-0	5	1	1	1	23
Shereef Mitchell	Guard	27	6-8	3-5	6-9	5	3	3	0	21
Miles Brown	Guard	32	3-7	1-3	1-1	4	4	4	0	8
Aidan Hadaway	F	26	3-4	1-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	7
Ike Cornish	G	14	2-6	1-3	2-2	2	1	0	0	7
Jaylin Hunter	Guard	31	2-11	0-5	0-1	4	5	2	0	4
Ajay Sheldon	G	16	1-2	1-2	1-2	0	3	1	0	4
Elmore James IV	G	14	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Gabe Wiznitzer	Center	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sy Chatman	Forward	40	9-19	2-5	5-10	8	2	3	1	25
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	28	3-7	0-1	4-4	4	2	3	2	10
Isaiah Adams	Guard	36	4-11	0-4	1-2	3	7	2	0	9
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	22	2-5	1-2	2-2	3	2	0	0	7
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	22	2-3	2-3	1-2	8	0	0	0	7
Ryan Sabol	G	25	1-2	1-2	1-1	4	1	0	1	4
Zaakir Williamson	F	11	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	1	0	3
Bryson Wilson	G	16	0-2	0-2	1-2	2	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

109.4Offensive Efficiency92.6

92.6Defensive Efficiency109.4

16.8Net Efficiency-16.8

59.6%Effective FG%50.0%

60.8%True Shooting %53.7%

16.9%Turnover Rate25.2%

26.3%Free Throw Rate48.0%

57.9%3-Point Rate38.0%

1.58Assist / Turnover0.78

Game Summary

Ohio won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.