Old Dominion

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.0%Old Dominion

68.0%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -6.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -212

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 72

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreTexas State 79

Team Comparison

Old DominionMetricTexas State

47.2MMH Power Index49.4

107.4Offensive Efficiency107.7

109.8Defensive Efficiency103.4

-2.4Net Efficiency4.3

-0.1Strength of Schedule-4.7

4.1Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

70.9Tempo68.6

50.9%Effective FG%51.3%

15.4%Turnover Rate18.4%

26.1%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

35.2%Free Throw Rate36.0%

-1.7Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–47.2), offensive efficiency (107.7–107.4), defensive efficiency (103.4–109.8), net efficiency (4.3–-2.4).

Old Dominion COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.1–-4.7), ball security (15.4–18.4).

Final

Old Dominion

83—92

Texas State

Texas State by 9 • 79.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Old DominionTEAM STATTexas State

29-65FG27-61

45.0%FG%44.0%

6-203PT6-15

30.0%3PT%40.0%

19-24FT32-46

79.0%FT%70.0%

44Rebounds37

16Offensive Rebounds14

11Assists13

18Turnovers11

7Steals10

5Blocks6

28Fouls17

Player Box Score

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyrone Williams	Guard	38	15-29	1-4	5-5	7	1	4	0	36
Devin Ceaser	G	30	6-14	1-6	5-7	3	1	1	0	18
R.J. Blakney	Forward	39	4-8	1-3	0-0	9	1	1	1	9
Imo Essien	Guard	28	1-5	1-2	5-6	1	3	1	0	8
Chaunce Jenkins	Guard	32	2-5	1-3	1-2	3	4	0	3	6
Dani Pounds	F	24	0-1	0-0	3-4	7	0	0	0	3
Bryce Baker	G	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	3
Jason Wade	Guard	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Leeroy Odiahi	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coleton Benson	G	27	5-9	4-8	14-14	3	0	1	0	28
Jordan Mason	G	38	5-16	0-2	9-12	7	7	2	0	19
Brandon Love	Forward	35	7-9	0-0	5-10	7	2	1	2	19
Davion Sykes	G	37	4-9	0-0	3-6	8	0	1	0	11
Joshua O'Garro	G	26	3-4	1-1	0-1	4	0	1	3	7
Dylan Dawson	Guard	21	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Chris Nix	Forward	7	1-3	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Christian Turner	Forward	21	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	2	2	0	2
Dontae Horne	G	9	0-3	0-1	0-1	0	2	1	1	0
Elijah Tate	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.2Possessions79.2

104.8Offensive Efficiency116.2

116.2Defensive Efficiency104.8

-11.4Net Efficiency11.4

49.2%Effective FG%49.2%

54.3%True Shooting %55.5%

23.0%Turnover Rate13.8%

36.9%Free Throw Rate75.4%

30.8%3-Point Rate24.6%

0.61Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

Texas State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 79.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.