Saint Francis

7-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

14.0%Saint Francis

86.0%Central Connecticut

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -13.9

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -614

Central Connecticut

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 68

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 82

Team Comparison

Saint FrancisMetricCentral Connecticut

32.7MMH Power Index44.4

101.2Offensive Efficiency111.4

114.7Defensive Efficiency107.0

-13.5Net Efficiency4.4

-2.3Strength of Schedule-7.7

-10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

70.6Tempo66.3

49.8%Effective FG%54.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

31.2%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-9.5Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–32.7), offensive efficiency (111.4–101.2), defensive efficiency (107.0–114.7), net efficiency (4.4–-13.5).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-7.7), offensive rebounding (28.4–28.2).

Final

Saint Francis

62—71

Central Connecticut

Central Connecticut by 9 • 58.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint FrancisTEAM STATCentral Connecticut

24-50FG24-48

48.0%FG%50.0%

9-203PT7-16

45.0%3PT%44.0%

5-9FT16-20

56.0%FT%80.0%

29Rebounds25

9Offensive Rebounds6

16Assists9

13Turnovers7

5Steals4

1Blocks4

20Fouls10

Player Box Score

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Wilborn	F	25	7-9	1-1	4-6	6	0	1	0	19
Aidan Harris	Forward	35	4-5	2-2	0-0	5	2	2	0	10
Gestin Liberis	F	14	5-7	0-0	0-1	7	2	0	0	10
Carlos Lopez	G	39	3-12	3-9	0-0	0	3	1	0	9
Ace Talbert	G	39	3-9	2-4	0-0	3	3	1	0	8
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	22	1-4	0-2	1-2	4	4	0	0	3
Braylen Blue	Guard	17	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Chris Moncrief	G	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Miles Webb	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Jones	Guard	32	7-12	1-1	3-4	1	1	2	0	18
Kellen Amos	Guard	38	3-11	1-5	0-1	5	1	1	1	7
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	19	1-3	1-3	3-4	2	2	1	0	6
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	18	2-5	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	5
Jayden Brown	Forward	24	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	1	0	3	4
Tre Breland	Guard	26	0-3	0-2	3-4	5	1	0	0	3
Abdul Momoh	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.4Possessions58.4

106.2Offensive Efficiency121.6

121.6Defensive Efficiency106.2

-15.4Net Efficiency15.4

57.0%Effective FG%57.3%

57.1%True Shooting %61.7%

22.3%Turnover Rate12.0%

18.0%Free Throw Rate41.7%

40.0%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.23Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 58.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.