LSU

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.1%LSU

89.9%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -14.4

PROJECTED TOTAL171.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -890

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLSU 78

Projected Total171.3

Projected ScoreArkansas 93

Team Comparison

LSUMetricArkansas

54.2MMH Power Index69.3

115.5Offensive Efficiency122.2

111.3Defensive Efficiency109.8

4.2Net Efficiency12.4

4.5Strength of Schedule8.6

-12.8Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

70.5Tempo73.8

53.4%Effective FG%56.4%

15.6%Turnover Rate12.2%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

41.9%Free Throw Rate36.5%

2.9Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–54.2), offensive efficiency (122.2–115.5), defensive efficiency (109.8–111.3), net efficiency (12.4–4.2).

LSU COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (33.2–31.8), free throw rate (41.9–36.5).

Final

LSU

83—94

Arkansas

Arkansas by 11 • 77.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LSUTEAM STATArkansas

30-67FG31-51

45.0%FG%61.0%

5-183PT5-16

28.0%3PT%31.0%

18-26FT27-33

69.0%FT%82.0%

30Rebounds34

12Offensive Rebounds4

9Assists18

10Turnovers15

9Steals8

—Blocks10

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

LSU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jordan Wright	Guard	37	6-14	2-5	10-10	3	4	1	24
Tyrell Ward	G	34	7-14	2-5	3-4	5	1	2	19
Trae Hannibal	Guard	33	3-7	0-0	4-7	10	2	0	10
Derek Fountain	Forward	22	5-9	0-3	0-2	3	1	0	10
Jalen Reed	F	20	4-11	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	8
Mike Williams III	G	10	2-5	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	4
Will Baker	Forward	21	1-4	0-2	1-3	2	0	1	3
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	1	3
Hunter Dean	Forward	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	2

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Khalif Battle	Guard	34	7-14	2-6	13-14	4	2	1	3	29
Makhi Mitchell	Forward	30	8-10	0-0	3-4	8	1	1	3	19
El Ellis	Guard	32	6-7	2-2	2-3	6	4	3	1	16
Tramon Mark	G	38	2-8	0-3	5-7	8	5	0	2	9
Chandler Lawson	Forward	13	3-3	0-0	1-1	1	1	2	0	7
Trevon Brazile	F	13	3-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Jeremiah Davenport	Guard	28	2-4	1-3	0-0	5	4	0	1	5
Davonte Davis	Guard	12	0-1	0-1	3-4	1	0	1	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

77.6Possessions77.6

107.0Offensive Efficiency121.1

121.1Defensive Efficiency107.0

-14.2Net Efficiency14.2

48.5%Effective FG%65.7%

52.3%True Shooting %70.5%

12.9%Turnover Rate19.3%

38.8%Free Throw Rate64.7%

26.9%3-Point Rate31.4%

0.90Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 77.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.