Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.4%Northwestern State

54.6%East Texas A&M

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Texas A&M -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL139.7

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Texas A&M -120

East Texas A&M

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 69

Projected Total139.7

Projected ScoreEast Texas A&M 71

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricEast Texas A&M

41.3MMH Power Index38.4

104.0Offensive Efficiency101.2

109.0Defensive Efficiency107.5

-5.0Net Efficiency-6.3

-1.6Strength of Schedule-1.5

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.1

63.6Tempo69.3

49.5%Effective FG%50.7%

17.6%Turnover Rate18.7%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

41.2%Free Throw Rate31.9%

-3.2Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–38.4), offensive efficiency (104.0–101.2), net efficiency (-5.0–-6.3), recent form (-4.9–-9.1).

East Texas A&M COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–109.0), strength of schedule (-1.5–-1.6), shooting efficiency (50.7–49.5).

Final

Northwestern State

80—83

East Texas A&M

East Texas A&M by 3 • 90.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATEast Texas A&M

28-73FG26-81

38.0%FG%32.0%

2-103PT9-35

20.0%3PT%26.0%

22-34FT22-39

65.0%FT%56.0%

60Rebounds54

16Offensive Rebounds19

10Assists14

16Turnovers11

10Steals11

9Blocks5

24Fouls23

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Wilson	Forward	37	11-16	0-0	7-9	8	0	2	2	29
Chase Forte	G	45	9-17	0-0	7-15	10	3	3	2	25
Cliff Davis	G	51	3-13	2-9	2-2	7	0	3	0	10
Duane Posey	G	23	2-6	0-0	2-2	6	0	2	1	6
Braelon Bush	G	51	1-11	0-1	2-2	4	5	0	0	4
Jimel Lane	F	23	0-3	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	1	2
Chris Mubiru	G	21	1-1	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	2	2
J.C. Riley Jr.	F	12	1-5	0-0	0-2	7	0	0	1	2
Jae Slack	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

East Texas A&M

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kalen Williams	Guard	52	9-28	3-9	10-15	7	1	2	0	31
Tommie Lewis	Guard	32	3-11	1-7	6-8	9	2	3	0	13
Khaliq Abdul-Mateen	Guard	31	4-7	3-6	1-2	6	0	0	0	12
Kwo Agwa	F	38	3-8	0-2	2-6	5	3	1	4	8
Evan Phelps	G	25	2-4	1-3	1-4	5	2	2	0	6
KC Ugwuakazi	F	24	3-7	0-1	0-2	9	1	1	1	6
Alonzo Dodd	G	38	2-12	1-4	0-0	2	4	1	0	5
Rob Banks	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	1	1	0	2
James Weathers	G	20	0-3	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
VJ Reeves Jr.	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ant Abraham	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

90.4Possessions90.4

88.5Offensive Efficiency91.8

91.8Defensive Efficiency88.5

-3.3Net Efficiency3.3

39.7%Effective FG%37.7%

44.9%True Shooting %41.7%

17.9%Turnover Rate12.0%

46.6%Free Throw Rate48.1%

13.7%3-Point Rate43.2%

0.63Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

East Texas A&M won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 90.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.