Georgia Southern

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.7%Georgia Southern

68.3%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -215

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 74

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 81

Team Comparison

Georgia SouthernMetricSouth Alabama

49.1MMH Power Index51.4

112.3Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.6Defensive Efficiency103.9

1.7Net Efficiency6.4

-2.2Strength of Schedule-3.7

1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

72.0Tempo67.4

52.1%Effective FG%53.2%

14.5%Turnover Rate12.8%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

39.5%Free Throw Rate39.8%

1.2Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Alabama HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Alabama holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–49.1), defensive efficiency (103.9–110.6), net efficiency (6.4–1.7), recent form (3.4–1.7).

Georgia Southern COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.3–110.3), strength of schedule (-2.2–-3.7), offensive rebounding (28.6–24.9).

Final

Georgia Southern

76—71

South Alabama

Georgia Southern by 5 • 75.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia SouthernTEAM STATSouth Alabama

28-59FG21-64

47.0%FG%33.0%

9-243PT5-18

38.0%3PT%28.0%

11-15FT24-31

73.0%FT%77.0%

49Rebounds32

12Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists5

21Turnovers8

5Steals10

11Blocks5

22Fouls13

Player Box Score

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyren Moore	G	35	6-17	2-6	4-4	5	3	0	0	18
Eren Banks	G	36	5-10	2-4	2-2	8	2	2	0	14
Nate Brafford	F	23	5-6	2-3	1-1	4	0	1	3	13
Avantae Parker	F	31	5-8	0-1	1-2	12	3	2	6	11
Cam Bryant	Forward	14	4-8	1-4	1-4	7	0	0	0	10
Malik Tidwell	Guard	28	3-6	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Eugene Brown III	Forward	20	0-2	0-2	2-2	4	2	0	1	2
Jamar Franklin	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Collin Kuhl	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyrell Jones	Guard	40	3-13	1-5	15-16	3	1	4	0	22
Marshall Kearing	Forward	31	6-13	3-3	5-8	12	1	2	5	20
Marcus Millender	G	36	5-12	1-1	3-4	4	1	3	0	14
Samuel Tabe	Guard	16	3-8	0-0	1-3	2	0	0	0	7
Isiah Gaiter	Guard	32	2-7	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	4
Judah Brown	Forward	18	2-6	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Julian Margrave	F	15	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Elijah Ormiston	Forward	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Thomas Howell	Forward	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.4Possessions75.4

100.8Offensive Efficiency94.2

94.2Defensive Efficiency100.8

6.6Net Efficiency-6.6

55.1%Effective FG%36.7%

57.5%True Shooting %45.1%

28.0%Turnover Rate10.6%

25.4%Free Throw Rate48.4%

40.7%3-Point Rate28.1%

0.48Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

Georgia Southern won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 75.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.