Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.3%Missouri State

68.7%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL159.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -219

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 77

Projected Total159.4

Projected ScoreMurray State 83

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricMurray State

51.1MMH Power Index53.6

110.5Offensive Efficiency115.0

108.4Defensive Efficiency111.0

2.1Net Efficiency4.0

0.5Strength of Schedule3.5

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

67.9Tempo72.3

51.8%Effective FG%54.0%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.3%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

42.9%Free Throw Rate39.1%

1.4Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–51.1), offensive efficiency (115.0–110.5), net efficiency (4.0–2.1), strength of schedule (3.5–0.5).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.4–111.0), recent form (-2.1–-9.5), offensive rebounding (33.0–32.7).

Final

Missouri State

60—35

Murray State

Missouri State by 25 • 58.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATMurray State

21-47FG12-57

45.0%FG%21.0%

6-203PT2-20

30.0%3PT%10.0%

12-15FT9-16

80.0%FT%56.0%

41Rebounds35

6Offensive Rebounds14

14Assists5

11Turnovers8

3Steals4

6Blocks1

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alston Mason	Guard	31	5-11	3-6	9-10	2	3	1	1	22
Chance Moore	G	26	4-7	2-5	2-3	8	0	0	1	12
NJ Benson	F	32	5-6	0-0	0-0	12	1	0	1	10
Donovan Clay	Guard	26	4-8	0-2	0-0	2	2	1	1	8
Matthew Lee	Guard	21	1-4	1-3	1-2	1	5	0	0	4
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	30	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	2	2
Cesare Edwards	Center	9	1-4	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Raphe Ayres	Guard	19	0-3	0-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
Dawson Carper	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tyler Bey	Not Available	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tommy Pinegar	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kanon Gipson	Guard	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
JaCobi Wood	Guard	34	4-13	0-3	4-4	1	0	0	0	12
Lawrent Rice	Guard	19	2-9	0-3	3-5	3	1	0	1	7
Nick Ellington	F	33	2-5	0-0	2-4	9	1	0	0	6
Quincy Anderson	Guard	35	2-10	1-4	0-1	5	1	1	0	5
Patrick Chew	Guard	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Rob Perry	Guard	21	1-9	0-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Justin Morgan	Guard	30	0-3	0-2	0-2	5	0	2	0	0
Alden Applewhite	F	9	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Shawn Walker Jr.	Guard	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Malek Abdelgowad	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Brian Moore Jr.	G	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Samuel Murray	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.9Possessions58.9

101.9Offensive Efficiency59.4

59.4Defensive Efficiency101.9

42.4Net Efficiency-42.4

51.1%Effective FG%22.8%

55.4%True Shooting %27.1%

18.6%Turnover Rate13.7%

31.9%Free Throw Rate28.1%

42.6%3-Point Rate35.1%

1.27Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 58.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.