Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.2%Texas State

63.8%Southern Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Miss -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Miss -176

Southern Miss

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 72

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 76

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricSouthern Miss

49.4MMH Power Index49.9

107.7Offensive Efficiency106.1

103.4Defensive Efficiency104.9

4.3Net Efficiency1.2

-4.7Strength of Schedule-0.2

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.8

68.6Tempo70.4

51.3%Effective FG%49.9%

18.4%Turnover Rate18.4%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

36.0%Free Throw Rate43.9%

2.9Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (107.7–106.1), defensive efficiency (103.4–104.9), net efficiency (4.3–1.2), recent form (9.1–3.8).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (49.9–49.4), strength of schedule (-0.2–-4.7), free throw rate (43.9–36.0).

Final

Texas State

75—59

Southern Miss

Texas State by 16 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATSouthern Miss

26-56FG22-54

46.0%FG%41.0%

2-73PT4-16

29.0%3PT%25.0%

21-27FT11-19

78.0%FT%58.0%

44Rebounds27

15Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists12

15Turnovers15

9Steals8

1Blocks6

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dontae Horne	G	29	5-9	0-1	10-12	7	0	3	0	20
Jordan Mason	G	34	6-13	0-1	6-8	5	4	1	0	18
Dylan Dawson	Guard	21	4-5	2-3	2-2	0	0	0	0	12
Davion Sykes	G	26	3-8	0-0	1-1	7	2	0	0	7
Christian Turner	Forward	20	3-5	0-0	1-2	6	1	2	0	7
Brandon Love	Forward	18	2-8	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	1	5
Chris Nix	Forward	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Joshua O'Garro	G	14	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	2	0	2
Coleton Benson	G	24	0-3	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Elijah Tate	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Victor Hart	Forward	40	6-13	0-3	8-9	9	0	5	0	20
Austin Crowley	Guard	40	6-13	3-7	1-2	1	2	2	0	16
Andre Curbelo	Guard	36	5-10	0-1	0-2	1	7	0	0	10
Victor Iwuakor	Forward	35	2-6	0-0	2-5	6	0	1	5	6
Mo Arnold	Guard	26	2-7	0-2	0-1	3	3	0	0	4
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	14	1-5	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Tegra Izay	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Jeffery Armstrong	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tate Ryder	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

108.9Offensive Efficiency85.6

85.6Defensive Efficiency108.9

23.2Net Efficiency-23.2

48.2%Effective FG%44.4%

54.5%True Shooting %46.8%

21.8%Turnover Rate21.7%

48.2%Free Throw Rate35.2%

12.5%3-Point Rate29.6%

0.53Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Texas State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.