Evansville

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.6%Evansville

95.4%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -21.1

PROJECTED TOTAL143.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -2074

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEvansville 61

Projected Total143.6

Projected ScoreIllinois State 82

Team Comparison

EvansvilleMetricIllinois State

31.6MMH Power Index54.3

98.5Offensive Efficiency110.6

112.4Defensive Efficiency101.4

-13.9Net Efficiency9.2

1.8Strength of Schedule1.0

-23.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

68.0Tempo67.5

50.0%Effective FG%54.3%

18.9%Turnover Rate16.8%

22.2%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

30.8%Free Throw Rate32.0%

-9.5Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–31.6), offensive efficiency (110.6–98.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–112.4), net efficiency (9.2–-13.9).

Evansville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.8–1.0).

Final

Evansville

59—53

Illinois State

Evansville by 6 • 59.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

EvansvilleTEAM STATIllinois State

19-59FG18-48

32.0%FG%38.0%

7-313PT5-21

23.0%3PT%24.0%

14-18FT12-18

78.0%FT%67.0%

38Rebounds36

14Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists13

6Turnovers12

7Steals4

1Blocks5

17Fouls18

Player Box Score

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ben Humrichous	F	37	4-16	3-12	4-4	11	5	0	0	15
Yacine Toumi	F	27	3-8	0-2	4-5	8	1	1	0	10
Antonio Thomas	Guard	26	3-8	1-2	2-2	3	1	0	1	9
Gage Bobe	Guard	27	3-6	2-5	0-0	1	1	3	0	8
Tanner Cuff	G	15	1-3	0-2	3-5	5	1	0	0	5
Cam Haffner	G	13	2-5	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Kenny Strawbridge Jr.	Guard	27	2-7	0-2	0-0	2	0	3	0	4
Chuck Bailey III	G	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Joshua Hughes	F	11	0-3	0-3	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Sekou Kalle	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Foster	Forward	38	8-13	0-0	2-6	9	3	1	3	18
Johnny Kinziger	G	38	3-9	3-8	3-4	9	2	0	0	12
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	30	3-9	2-6	2-2	2	3	0	0	10
Dalton Banks	Guard	22	2-5	0-2	1-2	3	2	1	0	5
Darius Burford	Guard	17	2-6	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	4
Kendall Lewis	Forward	30	0-4	0-3	2-2	6	3	0	1	2
Brandon Lieb	F	11	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	1	0	2
Luke Kasubke	Guard	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Chase Walker	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.1Possessions59.1

99.8Offensive Efficiency89.7

89.7Defensive Efficiency99.8

10.2Net Efficiency-10.2

38.1%Effective FG%42.7%

43.7%True Shooting %46.9%

10.1%Turnover Rate20.5%

30.5%Free Throw Rate37.5%

52.5%3-Point Rate43.8%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Evansville won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 59.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.