Jacksonville

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%Jacksonville

52.7%Stetson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStetson -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEStetson -111

Stetson

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville 76

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreStetson 76

Team Comparison

JacksonvilleMetricStetson

43.6MMH Power Index40

109.8Offensive Efficiency107.2

110.3Defensive Efficiency115.9

-0.5Net Efficiency-8.7

-4.8Strength of Schedule-1.0

-3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.9

66.6Tempo68.7

51.7%Effective FG%53.8%

16.9%Turnover Rate18.3%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

33.9%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-0.3Average Margin-6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–40.0), offensive efficiency (109.8–107.2), defensive efficiency (110.3–115.9), net efficiency (-0.5–-8.7).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-4.8), recent form (-2.9–-3.2), shooting efficiency (53.8–51.7).

Final

Jacksonville

87—88

Stetson

Stetson by 1 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

JacksonvilleTEAM STATStetson

28-55FG29-50

51.0%FG%58.0%

7-183PT13-22

39.0%3PT%59.0%

24-32FT17-26

75.0%FT%65.0%

36Rebounds18

15Offensive Rebounds4

10Assists15

9Turnovers6

4Steals6

—Blocks5

21Fouls23

Player Box Score

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Robert McCray V	G	38	11-17	5-8	9-11	4	2	0	36
Bryce Workman	Forward	37	5-12	0-0	9-12	14	3	3	19
DeeJuan Pruitt	Forward	29	4-4	0-0	4-4	5	0	0	12
Marcus Niblack	G	19	3-5	0-1	1-1	4	1	0	7
Gyasi Powell	Guard	33	2-8	2-6	0-0	2	3	0	6
Zach Bell	G	24	2-6	0-2	1-2	4	1	1	5
Stephon Payne	F	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Donovan Rivers	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0
Jarius Cook	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stephan Swenson	Guard	39	11-17	7-9	0-1	4	6	3	0	29
Aubin Gateretse	Center	33	9-10	0-0	5-11	6	0	1	3	23
Tristan Gross	G	35	5-7	4-5	0-1	0	2	1	0	14
Jalen Blackmon	Guard	37	2-12	0-4	8-9	2	4	1	0	12
Alec Oglesby	G	31	2-3	2-3	2-2	4	2	0	0	8
Giancarlo Valdez	Guard	13	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Treyton Thompson	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	0
Alex Doyle	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

135.3Offensive Efficiency136.9

136.9Defensive Efficiency135.3

-1.6Net Efficiency1.6

57.3%Effective FG%71.0%

62.0%True Shooting %70.6%

14.0%Turnover Rate9.3%

58.2%Free Throw Rate52.0%

32.7%3-Point Rate44.0%

1.11Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Stetson won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.