Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.6%Northern Kentucky

70.4%Wright State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWright State -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL161.2

MODEL MONEYLINEWright State -238

Wright State

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 78

Projected Total161.2

Projected ScoreWright State 84

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricWright State

53.9MMH Power Index57.1

114.9Offensive Efficiency116.4

107.1Defensive Efficiency106.5

7.8Net Efficiency9.9

-2.9Strength of Schedule-2.0

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

72.3Tempo69.2

54.5%Effective FG%55.2%

16.3%Turnover Rate16.1%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

37.1%Free Throw Rate38.3%

5.7Average Margin6.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wright State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWright State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.1–53.9), offensive efficiency (116.4–114.9), defensive efficiency (106.5–107.1), net efficiency (9.9–7.8).

Final

Northern Kentucky

99—97

Wright State

Northern Kentucky by 2 • 83.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATWright State

36-67FG37-72

54.0%FG%51.0%

9-213PT8-21

43.0%3PT%38.0%

18-24FT15-21

75.0%FT%71.0%

34Rebounds40

8Offensive Rebounds14

13Assists17

14Turnovers14

7Steals10

1Blocks3

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marques Warrick	Guard	44	11-18	4-6	9-9	2	0	3	0	35
Trey Robinson	Guard	43	6-13	1-3	4-7	12	3	0	1	17
Michael Bradley	Guard	42	7-12	1-3	2-2	3	4	2	0	17
Randall Pettus II	G	37	7-12	2-6	0-2	6	2	2	0	16
LJ Wells	F	30	2-8	0-1	2-2	5	2	0	0	6
Jeramiah Israel	Guard	13	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Keeyan Itejere	F	16	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	3

Wright State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tanner Holden	Guard	43	9-15	3-4	3-5	10	6	3	0	24
Alex Huibregtse	G	44	9-16	2-6	0-0	4	5	1	0	20
Trey Calvin	Guard	36	7-16	2-7	4-5	4	3	2	0	20
AJ Braun	Forward	38	5-10	0-0	8-11	9	1	0	2	18
Brandon Noel	F	42	5-13	0-3	0-0	8	1	3	1	10
Andrew Welage	Guard	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Logan Woods	G	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Drey Carter	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

83.2Possessions83.2

119.0Offensive Efficiency116.6

116.6Defensive Efficiency119.0

2.4Net Efficiency-2.4

60.4%Effective FG%56.9%

63.1%True Shooting %59.2%

16.6%Turnover Rate17.1%

35.8%Free Throw Rate29.2%

31.3%3-Point Rate29.2%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.21

Game Summary

Northern Kentucky won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 83.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.