North Alabama

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.1%North Alabama

93.9%Austin Peay

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAustin Peay -19.6

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINEAustin Peay -1539

Austin Peay

22-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Alabama 67

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 86

Team Comparison

North AlabamaMetricAustin Peay

34.9MMH Power Index54.8

104.4Offensive Efficiency115.0

116.7Defensive Efficiency103.1

-12.3Net Efficiency11.9

-1.2Strength of Schedule-5.8

-16.3Last 10 Net Efficiency8.1

66.5Tempo71.0

48.9%Effective FG%53.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

31.5%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

39.1%Free Throw Rate39.0%

-8.2Average Margin8.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–34.9), offensive efficiency (115.0–104.4), defensive efficiency (103.1–116.7), net efficiency (11.9–-12.3).

North Alabama COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.2–-5.8), offensive rebounding (31.5–30.3), free throw rate (39.1–39.0).

Final

North Alabama

71—77

Austin Peay

Austin Peay by 6 • 63.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North AlabamaTEAM STATAustin Peay

25-54FG26-51

46.0%FG%51.0%

5-123PT4-10

42.0%3PT%40.0%

16-22FT21-24

73.0%FT%88.0%

28Rebounds31

7Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists9

5Turnovers8

5Steals1

1Blocks3

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

North Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Damian Forrest	Forward	33	8-11	0-0	3-4	9	1	1	0	19
Jacari Lane	G	34	5-11	0-0	7-7	4	5	1	0	17
KJ Johnson	Guard	33	3-8	0-2	5-8	4	2	0	0	11
Dallas Howell	F	30	2-8	2-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Detalian Brown	Guard	22	2-5	2-3	0-1	1	0	1	0	6
Canin Jefferson	G	9	3-5	0-1	0-0	0	2	2	0	6
Tim Smith Jr.	Forward	17	1-3	1-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
Eoin Nelson	Center	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Will Soucie	Guard	19	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dezi Jones	Guard	39	13-23	2-4	6-6	2	3	0	1	34
DeMarcus Sharp	Guard	28	4-12	0-0	4-5	4	4	0	1	12
Sai Witt	Forward	15	3-3	0-0	3-5	3	0	0	0	9
Isaac Haney	Guard	33	2-6	0-1	4-4	6	2	0	0	8
Ja'Monta Black	Guard	38	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Dez White	G	26	1-2	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Jordan Wilmore	Center	21	1-1	0-0	2-2	9	0	1	1	4

Advanced Game Stats

63.5Possessions63.5

111.8Offensive Efficiency121.3

121.3Defensive Efficiency111.8

-9.4Net Efficiency9.4

50.9%Effective FG%54.9%

55.1%True Shooting %61.7%

8.0%Turnover Rate12.4%

40.7%Free Throw Rate47.1%

22.2%3-Point Rate19.6%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.13

Game Summary

Austin Peay won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 63.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.