Utah Valley

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

75.1%Utah Valley

24.9%Tarleton State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -302

Tarleton State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 78

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreTarleton State 72

Team Comparison

Utah ValleyMetricTarleton State

59.1MMH Power Index44.6

113.4Offensive Efficiency103.2

97.3Defensive Efficiency101.6

16.1Net Efficiency1.6

-3.3Strength of Schedule-2.3

6.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

70.6Tempo72.2

56.0%Effective FG%49.0%

19.9%Turnover Rate19.9%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

37.3%Free Throw Rate42.8%

11.4Average Margin1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–44.6), offensive efficiency (113.4–103.2), defensive efficiency (97.3–101.6), net efficiency (16.1–1.6).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-3.3), free throw rate (42.8–37.3).

Final

Utah Valley

63—60

Tarleton State

Utah Valley by 3 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah ValleyTEAM STATTarleton State

26-66FG24-66

39.0%FG%36.0%

null-123PT4-21

0.0%3PT%19.0%

11-22FT8-10

50.0%FT%80.0%

49Rebounds40

20Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists14

11Turnovers13

6Steals5

4Blocks4

11Fouls18

Player Box Score

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ethan Potter	F	36	8-18	0-0	6-11	15	0	1	3	22
Drake Allen	G	37	8-13	0-3	4-6	8	2	1	0	20
Caleb Stone-Carrawell	Forward	28	6-15	0-4	0-0	1	2	0	0	12
Trevin Dorius	Center	27	2-5	0-0	0-1	14	0	0	1	4
Jaden McClanahan	Guard	21	1-5	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	2
Trevan Leonhardt	G	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	2
Tanner Toolson	G	23	0-5	0-3	1-2	2	1	2	0	1
Osiris Grady	F	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nate Tshimanga	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	1	0	0	0
K'mani Doughty	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devon Barnes	G	37	5-14	3-7	5-6	2	2	0	0	18
Jakorie Smith	Forward	34	7-18	0-5	2-3	8	2	1	1	16
Lue Williams	Guard	36	4-13	0-4	0-0	7	1	1	0	8
KiAndre Gaddy	Forward	26	3-7	0-0	1-1	7	1	0	2	7
Emmanuel Innocenti	G	32	2-7	1-4	0-0	7	3	1	0	5
Traivar Jackson	F	18	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	3	2	1	4
Adam Moussa	Guard	15	1-5	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Dario Domingos	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

90.4Offensive Efficiency86.1

86.1Defensive Efficiency90.4

4.3Net Efficiency-4.3

39.4%Effective FG%39.4%

41.2%True Shooting %42.4%

16.3%Turnover Rate18.1%

33.3%Free Throw Rate15.2%

18.2%3-Point Rate31.8%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Utah Valley won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.