UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.6%UC Davis

74.4%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -291

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 72

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 79

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricUC San Diego

48.4MMH Power Index53.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency108.4

103.7Defensive Efficiency100.7

3.5Net Efficiency7.7

-1.9Strength of Schedule-1.3

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

72.4Tempo69.8

52.3%Effective FG%53.1%

17.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

41.5%Free Throw Rate33.2%

2.5Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (108.4–107.2), defensive efficiency (100.7–103.7), net efficiency (7.7–3.5).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (41.5–33.2).

Final

UC Davis

70—63

UC San Diego

UC Davis by 7 • 61.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATUC San Diego

23-49FG25-52

47.0%FG%48.0%

8-203PT6-19

40.0%3PT%32.0%

16-21FT7-12

76.0%FT%58.0%

29Rebounds30

7Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists9

9Turnovers13

6Steals4

2Blocks4

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Pepper	Guard	32	8-15	4-7	8-8	5	5	0	0	28
Kane Milling	Guard	36	5-11	3-6	0-0	1	2	3	1	13
TY Johnson	Guard	30	4-14	0-3	4-5	2	2	0	0	12
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	21	2-3	1-2	2-2	5	1	0	0	7
Pablo Tamba	F	30	2-4	0-2	1-4	10	0	2	1	5
Ade Adebayo	Forward	25	1-1	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	0	3
Sione Lose	Guard	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Niko Rocak	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0
Francesco Borra	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Connor Sevilla	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	26	8-9	0-0	2-5	7	0	0	0	18
Bryce Pope	Guard	36	6-15	2-6	2-2	4	3	2	0	16
Francis Nwaokorie	Forward	37	4-7	2-3	1-3	13	2	0	1	11
Tyler McGhie	Guard	31	3-10	2-6	0-0	2	1	0	1	8
Hayden Gray	Guard	36	3-6	0-2	0-0	1	2	1	1	6
Camden McCormick	Guard	9	1-3	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
J'Raan Brooks	Forward	19	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Emmanuel Tshimanga	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.4Possessions61.4

114.0Offensive Efficiency102.6

102.6Defensive Efficiency114.0

11.4Net Efficiency-11.4

55.1%Effective FG%53.8%

59.3%True Shooting %54.6%

14.8%Turnover Rate21.1%

42.9%Free Throw Rate23.1%

40.8%3-Point Rate36.5%

1.56Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 61.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.