Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.8%Cal Poly

86.2%UC Irvine

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Irvine -14.4

PROJECTED TOTAL160.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -625

UC Irvine

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 73

Projected Total160.0

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 87

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricUC Irvine

46.5MMH Power Index58.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency106.9

111.0Defensive Efficiency95.0

-3.8Net Efficiency11.9

1.7Strength of Schedule-1.0

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

76.6Tempo72.3

52.2%Effective FG%50.7%

19.8%Turnover Rate17.6%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

35.8%Free Throw Rate36.5%

-2.9Average Margin8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Irvine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Irvine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.4–46.5), defensive efficiency (95.0–111.0), net efficiency (11.9–-3.8), recent form (10.0–2.4).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.2–106.9), strength of schedule (1.7–-1.0), shooting efficiency (52.2–50.7).

Final

Cal Poly

68—82

UC Irvine

UC Irvine by 14 • 66.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATUC Irvine

23-53FG31-62

43.0%FG%50.0%

8-153PT5-15

53.0%3PT%33.0%

14-19FT15-19

74.0%FT%79.0%

32Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists17

11Turnovers7

2Steals3

3Blocks4

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Sanders	Guard	36	8-13	1-1	5-6	5	2	0	1	22
Jarred Hyder	Guard	37	4-12	3-6	2-2	3	3	0	0	13
Justin Page	G	30	5-8	3-3	0-2	1	0	0	0	13
Quentin Jones	G	33	3-9	1-4	3-5	9	1	0	1	10
Joel Armotrading	C	24	1-5	0-0	2-2	6	2	0	0	4
Tuukka Jaakkola	Forward	13	1-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	2	0	4
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	16	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Hayden Jory	Guard	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andre Henry	G	27	5-9	3-4	3-4	2	1	0	0	16
Derin Saran	G	20	6-8	0-0	1-1	4	1	1	0	13
Devin Tillis	F	23	4-6	1-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	9
Pierre Crockrell II	Guard	26	4-5	0-0	0-0	0	11	1	0	8
Bent Leuchten	Center	14	3-5	0-1	2-3	5	1	0	2	8
Carter Welling	F	12	3-5	0-0	2-4	3	0	0	1	8
Dean Keeler	Forward	17	2-4	0-0	3-3	4	1	0	1	7
Dylan Thoerner	Guard	15	1-5	0-2	4-4	0	0	1	0	6
Justin Hohn	Guard	21	2-8	1-5	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Hayden Welling	F	6	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Langston Redfield	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Ofure Ujadughele	Guard	8	0-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.0Possessions66.0

103.0Offensive Efficiency124.2

124.2Defensive Efficiency103.0

-21.2Net Efficiency21.2

50.9%Effective FG%54.0%

54.8%True Shooting %57.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate10.3%

35.8%Free Throw Rate30.6%

28.3%3-Point Rate24.2%

0.82Assist / Turnover2.43

Game Summary

UC Irvine won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 66.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.