California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.8%California

69.2%Stanford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStanford -5.0

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINEStanford -225

Stanford

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 74

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreStanford 79

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricStanford

56.5MMH Power Index59.2

111.8Offensive Efficiency111.6

104.8Defensive Efficiency107.1

7.0Net Efficiency4.5

2.8Strength of Schedule5.2

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency7.4

69.9Tempo68.1

52.6%Effective FG%51.9%

14.9%Turnover Rate15.5%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

36.8%Free Throw Rate37.2%

4.9Average Margin3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (111.8–111.6), defensive efficiency (104.8–107.1), net efficiency (7.0–4.5), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.9).

Stanford COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (59.2–56.5), strength of schedule (5.2–2.8), recent form (7.4–1.8).

Final

California

58—80

Stanford

Stanford by 22 • 73.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATStanford

21-60FG27-57

35.0%FG%47.0%

4-203PT12-24

20.0%3PT%50.0%

12-19FT14-22

63.0%FT%64.0%

35Rebounds36

12Offensive Rebounds9

5Assists15

17Turnovers15

7Steals9

1Blocks4

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	30	7-16	0-1	4-5	9	0	1	1	18
Jaylon Tyson	Forward	34	5-10	2-4	3-3	4	3	2	0	15
Keonte Kennedy	Guard	26	4-10	0-4	1-2	4	1	2	0	9
Grant Newell	F	24	2-7	1-3	3-5	7	0	0	0	8
Jalen Cone	Guard	34	2-13	0-5	1-2	3	0	0	0	5
Jalen Celestine	G	25	1-3	1-3	0-2	3	0	0	0	3
Rodney Brown	G	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Devin Curtis	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	0	0
Gus Larson	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Monty Bowser	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Wrenn Robinson	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Stanford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Maxime Raynaud	Forward	24	8-11	1-3	3-4	8	4	1	0	20
Kanaan Carlyle	G	21	4-7	4-5	0-0	0	1	0	1	12
Spencer Jones	Forward	25	3-9	2-5	2-2	4	2	1	0	10
Andrej Stojakovic	G	21	4-8	1-4	1-2	8	1	0	0	10
Brandon Angel	Forward	31	3-6	2-2	1-1	5	0	3	1	9
Michael Jones	Guard	29	2-5	1-3	3-4	5	2	1	1	8
Max Murrell	Forward	17	1-2	1-2	2-3	3	0	1	1	5
James Keefe	Forward	15	1-5	0-0	0-4	1	3	1	0	2
Benny Gealer	G	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Roy Yuan	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Josue Gil-Silva	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.8Possessions73.8

78.6Offensive Efficiency108.4

108.4Defensive Efficiency78.6

-29.8Net Efficiency29.8

38.3%Effective FG%57.9%

42.0%True Shooting %59.3%

23.0%Turnover Rate20.4%

31.7%Free Throw Rate38.6%

33.3%3-Point Rate42.1%

0.29Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Stanford won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 73.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.