Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.8%Arizona State

55.2%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUSC -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL158.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUSC -123

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 78

Projected Total158.9

Projected ScoreUSC 81

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricUSC

51MMH Power Index48.3

108.1Offensive Efficiency108.5

110.9Defensive Efficiency107.6

-2.8Net Efficiency0.9

7.0Strength of Schedule2.5

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

70.6Tempo72.4

51.3%Effective FG%50.7%

17.1%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

40.2%Free Throw Rate45.3%

-1.9Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

USC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUSC holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (108.5–108.1), defensive efficiency (107.6–110.9), net efficiency (0.9–-2.8), offensive rebounding (33.2–29.6).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (51.0–48.3), strength of schedule (7.0–2.5), recent form (-7.5–-16.0).

Final

Arizona State

73—81

USC

USC by 8 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATUSC

24-48FG22-48

50.0%FG%46.0%

3-163PT12-24

19.0%3PT%50.0%

22-30FT25-30

73.0%FT%83.0%

22Rebounds32

4Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists18

6Turnovers14

10Steals6

6Blocks5

23Fouls21

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jose Perez	Guard	34	7-12	0-1	11-11	2	3	2	0	25
Adam Miller	G	32	5-10	1-5	7-10	4	2	1	0	18
Frankie Collins	G	33	4-6	1-3	2-2	3	6	4	0	11
Jamiya Neal	Guard	34	3-7	1-4	0-0	2	1	2	1	7
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	18	2-6	0-0	1-3	0	1	0	2	5
Kamari Lands	G	15	2-5	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	1	4
Bryant Selebangue	F	12	1-2	0-0	1-4	2	1	1	0	3
Alonzo Gaffney	Forward	22	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	2	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boogie Ellis	Guard	26	8-12	6-8	6-8	2	3	1	0	28
Kobe Johnson	Guard	34	5-9	3-5	2-2	4	2	1	2	15
DJ Rodman	Forward	31	3-7	0-3	5-5	6	3	0	1	11
Isaiah Collier	Guard	27	2-6	1-3	3-5	3	5	1	0	8
Joshua Morgan	Forward	26	1-3	0-0	6-6	8	2	0	1	8
Oziyah Sellers	G	18	3-6	2-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	8
Vince Iwuchukwu	C	13	0-1	0-0	3-4	4	1	0	1	3
Bronny James	Guard	16	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Harrison Hornery	Forward	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

110.9Offensive Efficiency123.1

123.1Defensive Efficiency110.9

-12.2Net Efficiency12.2

53.1%Effective FG%58.3%

58.6%True Shooting %65.1%

9.3%Turnover Rate20.8%

62.5%Free Throw Rate62.5%

33.3%3-Point Rate50.0%

2.83Assist / Turnover1.29

Game Summary

USC won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.