Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.9%Missouri State

44.1%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -0.0

PROJECTED TOTAL150.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -127

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 75

Projected Total150.1

Projected ScoreIndiana State 75

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricIndiana State

51.1MMH Power Index44.4

110.5Offensive Efficiency104.7

108.4Defensive Efficiency106.0

2.1Net Efficiency-1.3

0.5Strength of Schedule0.1

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

67.9Tempo70.3

51.8%Effective FG%53.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate19.5%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

42.9%Free Throw Rate28.8%

1.4Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–44.4), offensive efficiency (110.5–104.7), net efficiency (2.1–-1.3), strength of schedule (0.5–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–108.4), shooting efficiency (53.6–51.8).

Final

Missouri State

59—75

Indiana State

Indiana State by 16 • 70.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATIndiana State

21-61FG28-63

34.0%FG%44.0%

3-143PT10-30

21.0%3PT%33.0%

14-18FT9-11

78.0%FT%82.0%

39Rebounds36

12Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists23

13Turnovers10

6Steals7

7Blocks3

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Clay	Guard	39	8-14	0-1	2-2	7	3	1	2	18
Alston Mason	Guard	39	4-14	1-5	3-4	5	2	1	0	12
NJ Benson	F	35	3-8	0-0	6-8	10	4	1	5	12
Matthew Lee	Guard	28	1-9	1-4	2-2	1	1	1	0	5
Raphe Ayres	Guard	23	1-2	1-2	1-2	5	1	1	0	4
Chance Moore	G	16	2-5	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	10	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Cesare Edwards	Center	10	1-5	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	37	6-14	3-9	5-6	6	3	3	1	20
Robbie Avila	C	32	5-12	1-2	3-4	2	4	0	2	14
Isaiah Swope	Guard	33	6-16	1-10	0-0	0	1	2	0	13
Jayson Kent	Forward	27	5-9	2-2	0-0	14	0	1	0	12
Julian Larry	Guard	39	3-7	2-4	1-1	1	9	0	0	9
Xavier Bledson	Guard	17	3-5	1-3	0-0	1	4	1	0	7
Jake Wolfe	Guard	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.9Possessions70.9

83.2Offensive Efficiency105.8

105.8Defensive Efficiency83.2

-22.6Net Efficiency22.6

36.9%Effective FG%52.4%

42.4%True Shooting %55.0%

18.4%Turnover Rate14.0%

29.5%Free Throw Rate17.5%

23.0%3-Point Rate47.6%

0.85Assist / Turnover2.30

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 70.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.