The Citadel

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.1%The Citadel

92.9%Mercer

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercer -18.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.8

MODEL MONEYLINEMercer -1308

Mercer

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreThe Citadel 69

Projected Total155.8

Projected ScoreMercer 87

Team Comparison

The CitadelMetricMercer

35.6MMH Power Index54.1

106.1Offensive Efficiency116.6

116.9Defensive Efficiency106.5

-10.8Net Efficiency10.1

-1.3Strength of Schedule-4.4

-16.2Last 10 Net Efficiency1.2

66.3Tempo70.9

50.4%Effective FG%53.8%

15.7%Turnover Rate14.7%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

29.6%Free Throw Rate38.9%

-7.2Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercer HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercer holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–35.6), offensive efficiency (116.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (106.5–116.9), net efficiency (10.1–-10.8).

The Citadel COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.3–-4.4).

Final

The Citadel

76—84

Mercer

Mercer by 8 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

The CitadelTEAM STATMercer

29-63FG30-53

46.0%FG%57.0%

5-173PT8-15

29.0%3PT%53.0%

13-23FT16-26

57.0%FT%62.0%

31Rebounds35

11Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists14

10Turnovers9

3Steals7

3Blocks7

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

The Citadel

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Madison Durr	G	39	8-16	0-1	6-13	5	3	0	0	22
Elijah Morgan	Guard	37	6-12	2-7	4-4	3	2	1	0	18
Quentin Millora-Brown	Forward	39	6-10	0-0	1-4	12	3	1	3	13
AJ Smith	G	36	5-15	1-4	1-1	1	2	0	0	12
Keynan Davis	G	33	3-6	1-2	1-1	2	1	0	0	8
Colby McAllister	Guard	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Marcus Pigram	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kam Roberts	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Josh Davis	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Thomas	G	32	10-15	5-6	2-4	4	2	1	0	27
Jalyn McCreary	Forward	29	6-13	0-0	2-4	3	1	0	1	14
Alex Holt	Forward	29	5-6	0-0	1-6	6	2	0	0	11
Jalen Cobb	Guard	20	4-4	2-2	0-0	6	0	1	0	10
Robby Carmody	Guard	14	2-4	1-2	5-5	1	0	0	0	10
Caleb Hunter	Guard	31	1-3	0-1	5-6	4	7	2	1	7
Jah Quinones	Guard	23	2-3	0-0	1-1	4	2	2	4	5
Jake Davis	F	16	0-3	0-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	0
Amanze Ngumezi	Forward	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

107.5Offensive Efficiency118.8

118.8Defensive Efficiency107.5

-11.3Net Efficiency11.3

50.0%Effective FG%64.2%

51.4%True Shooting %64.3%

13.7%Turnover Rate13.2%

36.5%Free Throw Rate49.1%

27.0%3-Point Rate28.3%

1.10Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Mercer won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.