Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.9%Ball State

88.1%Bowling Green

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -15.0

PROJECTED TOTAL145.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -740

Bowling Green

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 65

Projected Total145.6

Projected ScoreBowling Green 80

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricBowling Green

41.3MMH Power Index54.7

101.7Offensive Efficiency112.6

104.7Defensive Efficiency99.1

-3.0Net Efficiency13.5

-3.9Strength of Schedule-4.7

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

66.4Tempo72.2

48.3%Effective FG%53.4%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.9%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

33.0%Free Throw Rate38.7%

-2.0Average Margin9.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–41.3), offensive efficiency (112.6–101.7), defensive efficiency (99.1–104.7), net efficiency (13.5–-3.0).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.9–-4.7).

Final

Ball State

70—80

Bowling Green

Bowling Green by 10 • 72.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATBowling Green

24-54FG28-60

44.0%FG%47.0%

5-193PT9-22

26.0%3PT%41.0%

17-23FT15-18

74.0%FT%83.0%

32Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists13

15Turnovers14

6Steals8

4Blocks2

15Fouls20

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	37	6-15	3-5	7-10	3	4	1	1	22
Basheer Jihad	Forward	38	4-16	0-5	7-8	9	5	3	0	15
Mason Jones	F	38	5-6	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	2	10
Ben Hendriks	Center	21	4-4	0-0	2-3	3	0	1	1	10
Trent Middleton Jr.	G	28	4-8	1-5	0-0	3	3	1	0	9
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	34	1-5	1-4	1-2	6	0	0	0	4
Jurica Zagorsak	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Hill	G	39	8-18	1-2	7-8	3	5	5	0	24
Jason Spurgin	Center	33	5-8	3-4	2-2	4	2	1	0	15
Sam Towns	F	23	4-6	1-2	2-2	7	1	1	1	11
DaJion Humphrey	G	18	4-5	2-3	0-1	3	0	0	0	10
Trey Thomas	Guard	31	2-9	2-8	0-1	2	1	0	0	6
Da'Shawn Phillip	Guard	28	1-5	0-2	4-4	5	0	0	0	6
Rashaun Agee	F	21	3-7	0-0	0-0	6	4	0	1	6
EJay Greer	Guard	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
P.J. Edwards	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.8Possessions72.8

96.2Offensive Efficiency109.9

109.9Defensive Efficiency96.2

-13.7Net Efficiency13.7

49.1%Effective FG%54.2%

53.9%True Shooting %58.4%

20.6%Turnover Rate19.3%

42.6%Free Throw Rate30.0%

35.2%3-Point Rate36.7%

0.80Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Bowling Green won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 72.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.