Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.8%Northern Illinois

94.2%Buffalo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -17.9

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -1624

Buffalo

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 68

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreBuffalo 85

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricBuffalo

29.2MMH Power Index49.7

99.7Offensive Efficiency114.9

111.6Defensive Efficiency112.2

-11.9Net Efficiency2.7

-2.1Strength of Schedule0.0

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

69.7Tempo67.9

48.5%Effective FG%56.1%

21.3%Turnover Rate16.1%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

39.6%Free Throw Rate40.4%

-8.3Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–29.2), offensive efficiency (114.9–99.7), net efficiency (2.7–-11.9), strength of schedule (0.0–-2.1).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.6–112.2), offensive rebounding (31.7–27.6).

Final

Northern Illinois

78—68

Buffalo

Northern Illinois by 10 • 72.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATBuffalo

27-59FG23-58

46.0%FG%40.0%

9-273PT12-29

33.0%3PT%41.0%

15-23FT10-15

65.0%FT%67.0%

46Rebounds28

13Offensive Rebounds5

15Assists19

15Turnovers13

4Steals10

6Blocks3

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Coit	G	40	11-28	6-16	9-10	3	6	0	0	37
Zion Russell	G	35	4-9	2-5	4-4	6	3	3	0	14
Harvin Ibarguen	Forward	33	6-7	0-0	0-0	11	1	0	0	12
Yanic Konan Niederhauser	Forward	36	3-12	0-5	2-7	6	3	0	3	8
Ethan Butler	F	38	3-3	1-1	0-0	11	1	1	3	7
Oluwasegun Durosinmi	Forward	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Steven Tipton	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	0	0
Leo Amari IV	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Sabol	G	36	8-11	6-8	0-0	0	1	1	0	22
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	16	2-3	1-2	5-6	7	3	0	0	10
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	29	3-10	2-6	0-2	4	5	1	0	8
Isaiah Adams	Guard	29	3-11	1-4	0-0	4	1	3	1	7
Zaakir Williamson	F	26	3-4	0-0	0-1	5	4	2	0	6
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	23	2-3	2-2	0-0	3	3	1	0	6
Sy Chatman	Forward	29	2-13	0-6	1-2	4	2	2	2	5
Bryson Wilson	G	12	0-3	0-1	4-4	0	0	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

72.5Possessions72.5

107.6Offensive Efficiency93.8

93.8Defensive Efficiency107.6

13.8Net Efficiency-13.8

53.4%Effective FG%50.0%

55.8%True Shooting %52.2%

20.9%Turnover Rate17.8%

39.0%Free Throw Rate25.9%

45.8%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.46

Game Summary

Northern Illinois won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 72.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.