Pepperdine

9-23

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.5%Pepperdine

66.5%San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL154.6

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego -199

San Diego

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePepperdine 74

Projected Total154.6

Projected ScoreSan Diego 80

Team Comparison

PepperdineMetricSan Diego

38.2MMH Power Index39.8

103.2Offensive Efficiency106.2

113.6Defensive Efficiency111.1

-10.4Net Efficiency-4.9

0.7Strength of Schedule-1.2

-10.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-12.2

70.0Tempo70.1

48.7%Effective FG%52.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate17.8%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

34.0%Free Throw Rate26.3%

-7.3Average Margin-3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.8–38.2), offensive efficiency (106.2–103.2), defensive efficiency (111.1–113.6), net efficiency (-4.9–-10.4).

Pepperdine COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.7–-1.2), recent form (-10.3–-12.2), offensive rebounding (31.1–29.1).

Final

Pepperdine

52—57

San Diego

San Diego by 5 • 63.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PepperdineTEAM STATSan Diego

17-48FG17-55

35.0%FG%31.0%

5-163PT8-19

31.0%3PT%42.0%

13-17FT15-23

76.0%FT%65.0%

36Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds16

12Assists11

18Turnovers14

4Steals12

6Blocks2

17Fouls20

Player Box Score

Pepperdine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Messina-Moore	G	31	5-12	3-7	3-4	1	1	0	0	16
Michael Ajayi	F	40	5-9	0-1	4-5	15	2	2	0	14
Jevon Porter	F	38	3-11	2-3	4-5	4	0	1	4	12
Ethan Anderson	Guard	32	2-6	0-0	0-0	5	8	0	1	4
Nils Cooper	G	29	1-4	0-1	2-3	5	1	1	1	4
Cord Stansberry	G	18	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Curtis Williams	Guard	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
PJ Hayes IV	Guard	29	5-10	2-5	3-6	4	0	2	0	15
Wayne McKinney III	Guard	31	2-11	2-4	4-6	5	4	1	0	10
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	21	3-6	2-2	1-2	6	1	0	0	9
Deuce Turner	G	31	2-15	1-6	3-3	2	2	2	1	8
Steven Jamerson II	F	20	2-5	0-0	4-4	13	0	2	0	8
Deven Dahlke	Guard	24	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	1	5
Keyon Kensie Jr.	G	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Emmanuel Callas	G	22	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	2	0	0
Dragos Lungu	G	13	0-1	0-0	0-2	1	1	2	0	0
Jimmy Oladokun Jr.	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Dominic Muncey	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.5Possessions63.5

81.9Offensive Efficiency89.8

89.8Defensive Efficiency81.9

-7.9Net Efficiency7.9

40.6%Effective FG%38.2%

46.4%True Shooting %43.2%

28.5%Turnover Rate21.9%

35.4%Free Throw Rate41.8%

33.3%3-Point Rate34.5%

0.67Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

San Diego won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 63.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.