James Madison

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.7%James Madison

68.3%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL146.6

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -215

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJames Madison 70

Projected Total146.6

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 77

Team Comparison

James MadisonMetricSouthern Illinois

52.3MMH Power Index54.6

110.5Offensive Efficiency103.4

109.4Defensive Efficiency98.5

1.1Net Efficiency4.9

1.2Strength of Schedule1.6

7.9Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

67.5Tempo70.6

53.3%Effective FG%49.5%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.0%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

36.6%Free Throw Rate32.3%

0.7Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–52.3), defensive efficiency (98.5–109.4), net efficiency (4.9–1.1), strength of schedule (1.6–1.2).

James Madison COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.5–103.4), recent form (7.9–7.7), shooting efficiency (53.3–49.5).

Final

James Madison

82—76

Southern Illinois

James Madison by 6 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

James MadisonTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

31-59FG22-49

52.5%FG%44.9%

5-133PT9-24

38.5%3PT%37.5%

15-28FT23-28

53.6%FT%82.1%

31Rebounds27

9Offensive Rebounds5

10Assists8

12Turnovers14

7Steals5

5Blocks1

21Fouls25

Player Box Score

James Madison

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	32	9-12	0-0	6-10	6	5	3	1	24
T.J. Bickerstaff	Not Available	23	8-12	0-0	3-8	7	0	1	1	19
Noah Freidel	Guard	33	4-9	2-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	10
Julien Wooden	Forward	30	3-4	1-1	3-4	4	1	1	1	10
Raekwon Horton	Forward	23	3-3	1-1	1-2	4	0	0	0	8
Michael Green III	Guard	24	2-12	1-3	0-0	1	3	1	1	5
Xavier Brown	G	18	2-6	0-3	1-2	2	1	0	0	5
Jaylen Carey	F	12	0-0	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	1	1
Bryant Randleman	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Quincy Allen	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	37	11-20	4-9	12-12	6	3	2	1	38
Troy D'Amico	Forward	39	3-9	1-5	5-6	6	5	2	0	12
Jovan Stulic	Guard	25	2-4	1-2	5-6	9	0	0	0	10
Trent Brown	Guard	39	2-4	2-3	1-2	1	0	0	0	7
Scottie Ebube	C	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	20	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Clarence Rupert	Forward	10	1-4	0-1	0-2	1	0	1	0	2
AJ Ferguson	Guard	19	0-4	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Trey Miller	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

111.9Offensive Efficiency103.7

103.7Defensive Efficiency111.9

8.2Net Efficiency-8.2

56.8%Effective FG%54.1%

56.7%True Shooting %61.0%

15.9%Turnover Rate19.6%

47.5%Free Throw Rate57.1%

22.0%3-Point Rate49.0%

0.83Assist / Turnover0.57

Game Summary

James Madison won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.