Mercer

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%Mercer

62.5%Samford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSamford -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINESamford -167

Samford

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercer 78

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreSamford 81

Team Comparison

MercerMetricSamford

54.1MMH Power Index54.1

116.6Offensive Efficiency113.5

106.5Defensive Efficiency108.3

10.1Net Efficiency5.2

-4.4Strength of Schedule-2.9

1.2Last 10 Net Efficiency14.0

70.9Tempo69.5

53.8%Effective FG%54.0%

14.7%Turnover Rate13.3%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

38.9%Free Throw Rate42.5%

7.2Average Margin3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

EVEN MATCHUP

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNo clear statistical separation

Final

Mercer

57—70

Samford

Samford by 13 • 63.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercerTEAM STATSamford

21-57FG27-60

37.0%FG%45.0%

4-183PT10-24

22.0%3PT%42.0%

11-16FT6-7

69.0%FT%86.0%

33Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds12

6Assists13

9Turnovers12

8Steals5

8Blocks2

10Fouls15

Player Box Score

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Thomas	G	36	7-12	0-2	0-0	6	2	1	0	14
Jake Davis	F	34	4-11	3-9	2-2	4	0	0	0	13
Jalyn McCreary	Forward	25	4-14	0-0	3-6	4	1	1	2	11
Jah Quinones	Guard	22	3-6	0-1	2-2	4	1	1	1	8
Robby Carmody	Guard	15	2-3	0-0	3-4	3	0	1	1	7
Caleb Hunter	Guard	22	1-8	1-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
TJ Grant	G	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Jalen Cobb	Guard	21	0-2	0-1	0-0	6	2	2	1	0
Alex Holt	Forward	19	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	3	0

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rylan Jones	Guard	28	6-10	3-5	0-0	4	2	0	0	15
Garrett Hicks	Guard	23	6-10	3-5	0-0	2	2	1	0	15
Achor Achor	F	26	4-11	1-2	3-4	4	1	0	2	12
Jermaine Marshall	Forward	26	4-7	2-4	0-0	8	2	3	0	10
Josh Holloway	G	14	3-6	0-2	1-1	2	0	0	0	7
Jaden Campbell	Guard	27	2-6	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
AJ Staton-McCray	G	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Dallas Graziani	Guard	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	2
Riley Allenspach	F	7	0-4	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	2
Nathan Johnson	Forward	21	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	0	0
Lukas Walls	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.0Possessions63.0

90.5Offensive Efficiency111.1

111.1Defensive Efficiency90.5

-20.6Net Efficiency20.6

40.4%Effective FG%53.3%

44.1%True Shooting %55.3%

14.4%Turnover Rate18.9%

28.1%Free Throw Rate11.7%

31.6%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Samford won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 63.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.