Georgia Southern

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.4%Georgia Southern

74.6%App State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.8

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -294

App State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 71

Projected Total150.8

Projected ScoreApp State 80

Team Comparison

Georgia SouthernMetricApp State

49.1MMH Power Index54.2

112.3Offensive Efficiency110.9

110.6Defensive Efficiency101.7

1.7Net Efficiency9.2

-2.2Strength of Schedule-4.2

1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

72.0Tempo64.9

52.1%Effective FG%51.1%

14.5%Turnover Rate15.2%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %34.2%

39.5%Free Throw Rate39.8%

1.2Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–49.1), defensive efficiency (101.7–110.6), net efficiency (9.2–1.7), recent form (7.0–1.7).

Georgia Southern COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.3–110.9), strength of schedule (-2.2–-4.2), shooting efficiency (52.1–51.1).

Final

Georgia Southern

80—85

App State

App State by 5 • 76.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia SouthernTEAM STATApp State

30-82FG30-58

37.0%FG%52.0%

9-253PT2-10

36.0%3PT%20.0%

11-15FT23-27

73.0%FT%85.0%

36Rebounds47

17Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists17

4Turnovers17

11Steals3

1Blocks12

21Fouls13

Player Box Score

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyren Moore	G	37	13-29	5-12	5-5	2	5	4	0	36
Avantae Parker	F	35	5-14	0-0	4-6	7	1	4	0	14
Malik Tidwell	Guard	30	5-10	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	11
Eugene Brown III	Forward	33	2-4	1-1	1-2	7	1	2	0	6
Eren Banks	G	25	2-9	1-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Jamar Franklin	G	15	1-6	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Nate Brafford	F	18	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Collin Kuhl	F	7	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Cam Bryant	Forward	25	0-6	0-3	1-2	4	4	1	1	1

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Gregory	Forward	33	6-11	0-0	10-10	3	4	0	1	22
Terence Harcum	Guard	35	3-8	1-3	6-6	6	3	0	0	13
Justin Abson	F	34	6-9	0-0	1-2	12	4	1	7	13
Tre'Von Spillers	F	34	4-12	0-0	4-6	10	0	0	1	12
Xavion Brown	Guard	28	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	0	6
Myles Tate	Guard	24	2-3	0-1	2-3	0	3	1	0	6
CJ Huntley	Forward	22	3-5	0-2	0-0	6	0	1	3	6
Christopher Mantis	Forward	12	2-5	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Jordan Marsh	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

76.4Possessions76.4

104.7Offensive Efficiency111.3

111.3Defensive Efficiency104.7

-6.5Net Efficiency6.5

42.1%Effective FG%53.4%

44.9%True Shooting %60.0%

5.3%Turnover Rate22.1%

18.3%Free Throw Rate46.6%

30.5%3-Point Rate17.2%

3.00Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

App State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 76.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.