Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.7%Wagner

66.3%Central Connecticut

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL144.5

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -197

Central Connecticut

18-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 69

Projected Total144.5

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 75

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricCentral Connecticut

42.9MMH Power Index44.4

105.5Offensive Efficiency111.4

106.1Defensive Efficiency107.0

-0.6Net Efficiency4.4

-5.0Strength of Schedule-7.7

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.5

67.6Tempo66.3

50.2%Effective FG%54.0%

18.9%Turnover Rate15.9%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

31.6%Free Throw Rate31.3%

-0.4Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–42.9), offensive efficiency (111.4–105.5), net efficiency (4.4–-0.6), shooting efficiency (54.0–50.2).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.1–107.0), strength of schedule (-5.0–-7.7), recent form (0.3–-0.5).

Final

Wagner

66—56

Central Connecticut

Wagner by 10 • 62.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATCentral Connecticut

21-54FG21-58

39.0%FG%36.0%

5-173PT5-26

29.0%3PT%19.0%

19-24FT9-16

79.0%FT%56.0%

41Rebounds34

11Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists10

6Turnovers8

3Steals2

2Blocks5

17Fouls17

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julian Brown	Guard	40	5-11	3-8	7-8	3	1	0	0	20
Keyontae Lewis	F	34	6-10	0-0	0-0	9	2	0	1	12
Melvin Council Jr.	G	19	5-8	0-0	2-2	3	1	1	0	12
Tahron Allen	Not Available	35	3-11	1-2	4-5	5	0	0	0	11
Tyje Kelton	F	27	1-4	1-3	4-5	5	0	1	0	7
Javier Ezquerra	G	40	1-10	0-4	1-2	5	5	1	0	3
Seck Zongo	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	1

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Jones	Guard	38	5-15	2-9	3-6	5	3	0	1	15
Jayden Brown	Forward	31	5-10	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	2	10
Kellen Amos	Guard	33	3-8	0-2	2-2	5	3	0	0	8
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	27	2-4	1-3	1-3	7	1	1	0	6
Tre Breland	Guard	21	2-10	1-6	0-0	2	1	0	0	5
Abdul Momoh	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.0Possessions62.0

106.5Offensive Efficiency90.3

90.3Defensive Efficiency106.5

16.1Net Efficiency-16.1

43.5%Effective FG%40.5%

50.5%True Shooting %42.7%

9.9%Turnover Rate12.6%

44.4%Free Throw Rate27.6%

31.5%3-Point Rate44.8%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.25

Game Summary

Wagner won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 62.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.