UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

76.8%UMBC

23.2%UMass Lowell

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -331

UMass Lowell

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 76

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreUMass Lowell 69

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricUMass Lowell

59.1MMH Power Index43.8

113.0Offensive Efficiency107.9

99.0Defensive Efficiency109.9

14.0Net Efficiency-2.0

-5.6Strength of Schedule-4.6

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.0

65.5Tempo69.4

54.3%Effective FG%51.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate17.6%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %35.1%

34.1%Free Throw Rate37.9%

9.1Average Margin-1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–43.8), offensive efficiency (113.0–107.9), defensive efficiency (99.0–109.9), net efficiency (14.0–-2.0).

UMass Lowell COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.6–-5.6), offensive rebounding (35.1–25.2), free throw rate (37.9–34.1).

Final

UMBC

89—94

UMass Lowell

UMass Lowell by 5 • 88.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATUMass Lowell

33-77FG32-69

43.0%FG%46.0%

11-323PT10-26

34.0%3PT%38.0%

12-16FT20-31

75.0%FT%65.0%

32Rebounds56

6Offensive Rebounds16

20Assists17

10Turnovers20

10Steals5

6Blocks4

24Fouls13

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	43	7-19	5-12	5-6	7	4	3	0	24
Dion Brown	G	40	7-16	2-3	2-2	5	8	2	0	18
Ace Valentine	G	35	6-11	1-3	2-3	5	4	2	0	15
Khydarius Smith	Center	17	7-9	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	15
Bryce Johnson	Guard	22	2-4	1-2	2-2	2	1	0	1	7
Franck Emmou	G	23	2-9	1-8	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Devan Sapp	Guard	13	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Max Lorca-Lloyd	Center	24	1-4	0-0	0-1	4	1	2	5	2
Alpha Chibambe	Forward	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

UMass Lowell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quinton Mincey	Guard	37	9-19	5-11	4-8	16	0	0	1	27
Brayden O'Connor	G	43	5-10	1-4	5-8	2	3	2	0	16
Cam Morris III	F	22	5-7	1-1	2-2	7	1	0	0	13
Ayinde Hikim	Guard	42	3-6	0-0	6-6	2	3	1	0	12
Max Brooks	Forward	39	5-9	0-0	2-4	8	5	2	3	12
Yuri Covington	Guard	37	4-16	2-9	1-3	9	4	0	0	11
Anthony Blunt	Guard	5	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

88.2Possessions88.2

100.9Offensive Efficiency106.6

106.6Defensive Efficiency100.9

-5.7Net Efficiency5.7

50.0%Effective FG%53.6%

52.6%True Shooting %56.1%

11.3%Turnover Rate22.8%

20.8%Free Throw Rate44.9%

41.6%3-Point Rate37.7%

2.00Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

UMass Lowell won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 88.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.