Louisiana

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.7%Louisiana

93.3%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -18.0

PROJECTED TOTAL148.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -1393

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisiana 65

Projected Total148.3

Projected ScoreArkansas State 83

Team Comparison

LouisianaMetricArkansas State

38.6MMH Power Index57.7

99.3Offensive Efficiency113.1

110.2Defensive Efficiency105.3

-10.9Net Efficiency7.8

1.5Strength of Schedule-1.0

-9.0Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

64.1Tempo73.3

47.1%Effective FG%52.7%

16.8%Turnover Rate19.4%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

29.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-7.0Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–38.6), offensive efficiency (113.1–99.3), defensive efficiency (105.3–110.2), net efficiency (7.8–-10.9).

Louisiana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-1.0), ball security (16.8–19.4).

Final

Louisiana

62—89

Arkansas State

Arkansas State by 27 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisianaTEAM STATArkansas State

22-54FG34-68

41.0%FG%50.0%

3-153PT9-22

20.0%3PT%41.0%

15-20FT12-14

75.0%FT%86.0%

26Rebounds43

6Offensive Rebounds15

5Assists15

14Turnovers11

8Steals14

5Blocks7

13Fouls14

Player Box Score

Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hosana Kitenge	F	31	6-9	0-0	3-4	5	1	2	2	15
Kobe Julien	Forward	31	5-12	0-2	5-7	3	1	1	0	15
Kentrell Garnett	Guard	27	4-7	1-3	4-4	3	0	1	0	13
Brandon Hardy	G	28	3-8	2-5	1-2	3	0	1	0	9
Michael Thomas	Guard	35	2-9	0-3	0-0	3	2	1	0	4
Joe Charles	Not Available	32	2-8	0-1	0-1	6	1	0	2	4
London Fields	G	11	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	2	0	2
Kyran Ratliff	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Freddy Hicks	G	30	8-14	1-3	6-6	7	1	2	2	23
Derrian Ford	G	39	7-10	2-2	2-2	5	2	1	0	18
Taryn Todd	Guard	20	8-14	2-4	0-0	5	4	1	2	18
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	20	3-5	3-4	1-2	5	2	2	0	10
Izaiyah Nelson	F	31	3-5	0-1	3-3	8	0	2	2	9
Avery Felts	Guard	26	2-7	1-6	0-0	3	3	4	1	5
Caleb Fields	Guard	28	2-10	0-2	0-1	3	3	1	0	4
Lado Laku	Forward	2	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Noah McDavid	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Zane Butler	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

87.2Offensive Efficiency125.2

125.2Defensive Efficiency87.2

-38.0Net Efficiency38.0

43.5%Effective FG%56.6%

48.8%True Shooting %59.6%

19.6%Turnover Rate15.6%

37.0%Free Throw Rate20.6%

27.8%3-Point Rate32.4%

0.36Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.