Northern Iowa

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

79.3%Northern Iowa

20.7%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -7.3

PROJECTED TOTAL139.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -383

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 73

Projected Total139.1

Projected ScoreIndiana State 66

Team Comparison

Northern IowaMetricIndiana State

61MMH Power Index44.4

108.4Offensive Efficiency104.7

96.4Defensive Efficiency106.0

12.0Net Efficiency-1.3

2.2Strength of Schedule0.1

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

64.1Tempo70.3

54.6%Effective FG%53.6%

14.4%Turnover Rate19.5%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

26.2%Free Throw Rate28.8%

7.7Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–44.4), offensive efficiency (108.4–104.7), defensive efficiency (96.4–106.0), net efficiency (12.0–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (27.3–21.9), free throw rate (28.8–26.2).

Final

Northern Iowa

72—94

Indiana State

Indiana State by 22 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IowaTEAM STATIndiana State

25-61FG35-61

41.0%FG%57.0%

9-263PT15-29

35.0%3PT%52.0%

13-17FT9-11

76.0%FT%82.0%

26Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists22

5Turnovers8

5Steals2

1Blocks—

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Hutson	Center	20	9-15	2-3	1-1	0	0	0	0	21
Bowen Born	Guard	29	3-10	2-6	4-5	2	4	0	0	12
Nate Heise	G	27	4-9	1-4	1-1	2	2	0	0	10
Tytan Anderson	Guard	29	1-5	0-1	5-6	8	1	0	1	7
Landon Wolf	G	14	2-4	1-2	1-1	2	1	1	0	6
RJ Taylor	G	21	2-6	1-4	0-2	3	2	3	0	5
Trey Campbell	G	28	1-5	0-2	1-1	3	0	1	0	3
Kyle Pock	F	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Drew Daniel	Guard	2	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Cole Henry	Forward	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Michael Duax	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Robbie Avila	C	31	8-13	5-6	0-0	2	2	0	21
Ryan Conwell	G	38	8-14	2-7	2-3	13	4	0	20
Julian Larry	Guard	38	6-9	2-3	3-3	3	7	0	17
Isaiah Swope	Guard	35	5-10	5-7	0-0	3	3	2	15
Jayson Kent	Forward	18	3-5	1-3	2-2	9	0	0	9
Xavier Bledson	Guard	16	1-2	0-1	2-2	1	5	0	4
Jake Wolfe	Guard	14	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	4
Jaden Daughtry	F	2	1-2	0-1	0-1	0	0	0	2
Aaron Gray	Forward	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2
Derek Vorst	C	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0
Eli Shetlar	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Masen Miller	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

105.6Offensive Efficiency137.8

137.8Defensive Efficiency105.6

-32.3Net Efficiency32.3

48.4%Effective FG%69.7%

52.1%True Shooting %71.0%

7.3%Turnover Rate11.7%

27.9%Free Throw Rate18.0%

42.6%3-Point Rate47.5%

2.40Assist / Turnover2.75

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.