Arkansas-Pine Bluff

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.7%Arkansas-Pine Bluff

36.3%Alcorn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas-Pine Bluff -3.7

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas-Pine Bluff -175

Alcorn State

9-23

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas-Pine Bluff 79

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreAlcorn State 76

Team Comparison

Arkansas-Pine BluffMetricAlcorn State

38.7MMH Power Index29.1

106.4Offensive Efficiency96.0

111.6Defensive Efficiency115.1

-5.2Net Efficiency-19.1

-6.0Strength of Schedule-2.1

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.1

72.6Tempo69.7

51.4%Effective FG%47.8%

18.5%Turnover Rate19.6%

29.3%Offensive Rebound %26.8%

37.7%Free Throw Rate32.4%

-3.8Average Margin-13.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas-Pine Bluff HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas-Pine Bluff holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.7–29.1), offensive efficiency (106.4–96.0), defensive efficiency (111.6–115.1), net efficiency (-5.2–-19.1).

Alcorn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.1–-6.0).

Final

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

95—104

Alcorn State

Alcorn State by 9 • 77.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas-Pine BluffTEAM STATAlcorn State

29-66FG33-63

44.0%FG%52.0%

11-313PT6-18

35.0%3PT%33.0%

26-31FT32-38

84.0%FT%84.0%

28Rebounds44

10Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists12

6Turnovers11

5Steals3

1Blocks3

26Fouls24

Player Box Score

Arkansas-Pine Bluff

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rashad Williams	Guard	34	7-16	4-9	2-2	1	2	0	0	20
Kylen Milton	Guard	32	4-10	0-4	7-8	7	3	3	1	15
Joe French	Guard	27	5-10	3-8	0-0	0	0	1	0	13
Robert Lewis	F	19	5-10	0-0	3-4	6	1	1	0	13
Trejon Ware	G	32	3-7	2-4	4-5	6	5	0	0	12
Lonnell Martin Jr.	Forward	30	3-6	2-5	4-4	2	1	0	0	12
Ismael Plet	Forward	22	2-6	0-0	6-8	2	0	0	0	10
Kaine McColley	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Alcorn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremiah Gambrell	Shooting Guard	33	8-12	3-7	9-10	0	0	0	0	28
Byron Joshua	Guard	33	6-14	1-2	7-8	8	8	0	0	20
DK Thorn	Guard	31	4-11	2-7	8-8	11	1	0	2	18
Jalyke Gaines-Wyatt	G	22	3-6	0-0	6-8	10	1	0	0	12
Djahi Binet	F	25	5-5	0-0	0-2	8	0	1	1	10
Stephen Byard	F	18	4-7	0-0	2-2	6	0	0	0	10
Michael Pajeaud	Guard	13	2-5	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	4
Jalen Hawkins	Shooting Guard	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	2	0	2
Willie Anderson Jr.	Small Forward	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cameron Butler	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.9Possessions77.9

122.0Offensive Efficiency133.5

133.5Defensive Efficiency122.0

-11.6Net Efficiency11.6

52.3%Effective FG%57.1%

58.8%True Shooting %64.2%

7.8%Turnover Rate13.9%

47.0%Free Throw Rate60.3%

47.0%3-Point Rate28.6%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Alcorn State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 77.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.