Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

95.7%Colorado State

4.3%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -19.6

PROJECTED TOTAL144.9

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -2226

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 82

Projected Total144.9

Projected ScoreAir Force 63

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricAir Force

55.4MMH Power Index23

117.1Offensive Efficiency91.3

109.9Defensive Efficiency118.5

7.2Net Efficiency-27.2

0.4Strength of Schedule6.2

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

64.7Tempo67.4

58.6%Effective FG%49.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate21.9%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

41.2%Free Throw Rate35.9%

4.6Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–23.0), offensive efficiency (117.1–91.3), defensive efficiency (109.9–118.5), net efficiency (7.2–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–0.4).

Final

Colorado State

82—73

Air Force

Colorado State by 9 • 60.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATAir Force

27-41FG24-51

66.0%FG%47.0%

6-173PT9-22

35.0%3PT%41.0%

22-34FT16-20

65.0%FT%80.0%

24Rebounds28

3Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists12

8Turnovers8

3Steals4

5Blocks1

21Fouls22

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Stevens	Guard	34	10-14	3-5	6-7	2	3	0	0	29
Joel Scott	Forward	33	4-6	0-2	8-16	3	0	0	2	16
Nique Clifford	Guard	33	4-5	2-3	5-8	9	4	1	1	15
Joe Palmer	Guard	17	2-3	0-1	3-3	2	0	0	2	7
Jalen Lake	Guard	24	3-5	0-2	0-0	0	2	1	0	6
Patrick Cartier	Forward	24	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Josiah Strong	Guard	18	2-6	0-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	4
Rashaan Mbemba	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Tavi Jackson	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kyan Evans	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rytis Petraitis	F	37	10-15	0-1	7-9	8	4	3	0	27
Beau Becker	Forward	23	4-9	4-8	2-2	2	0	0	0	14
Luke Kearney	F	25	3-8	1-4	4-4	1	0	0	0	11
Kellan Boylan	F	30	3-6	1-2	0-1	7	2	1	0	7
Ethan Taylor	Guard	34	1-6	1-3	3-4	5	4	0	0	6
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	27	2-5	2-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Wesley Celichowski	C	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Byron Brown	Guard	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.9Possessions60.9

134.6Offensive Efficiency119.9

119.9Defensive Efficiency134.6

14.8Net Efficiency-14.8

73.2%Effective FG%55.9%

71.7%True Shooting %60.3%

12.9%Turnover Rate13.4%

82.9%Free Throw Rate39.2%

41.5%3-Point Rate43.1%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 60.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.