Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.1%Fairfield

41.9%Mount St. Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -1.4

PROJECTED TOTAL142.0

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -139

Mount St. Mary's

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 72

Projected Total142.0

Projected ScoreMount St. Mary's 70

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricMount St. Mary's

50.1MMH Power Index42.6

109.6Offensive Efficiency100.2

105.4Defensive Efficiency103.2

4.2Net Efficiency-3.0

-3.4Strength of Schedule-3.1

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

67.8Tempo67.9

49.1%Effective FG%51.0%

15.0%Turnover Rate22.4%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

28.4%Free Throw Rate33.3%

2.8Average Margin-2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–42.6), offensive efficiency (109.6–100.2), net efficiency (4.2–-3.0), ball security (15.0–22.4).

Mount St. Mary's COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.2–105.4), strength of schedule (-3.1–-3.4), recent form (6.4–3.3).

Final

Fairfield

96—92

Mount St. Mary's

Fairfield by 4 • 76.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATMount St. Mary's

31-65FG35-58

48.0%FG%60.0%

13-343PT15-25

38.0%3PT%60.0%

21-22FT7-11

95.0%FT%64.0%

29Rebounds30

10Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists21

10Turnovers21

16Steals6

3Blocks4

11Fouls15

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Leach	Not Available	39	10-17	3-6	6-7	4	4	4	0	29
Brycen Goodine	Guard	32	7-12	4-8	7-7	3	4	1	0	25
Caleb Fields	Guard	40	5-16	3-11	4-4	7	2	4	0	17
Jasper Floyd	G	36	3-9	2-5	2-2	1	1	3	0	10
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	13	0-2	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Birima Seck	Forward	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	2
James Johns Jr.	Guard	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Peyton Smith	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Mount St. Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	34	9-11	4-5	2-5	5	7	2	0	24
Dakota Leffew	Guard	38	7-15	4-7	1-1	6	7	1	0	19
Joshua Aaron Reaves	G	35	6-13	6-11	0-0	3	1	0	0	18
Dola Adebayo	F	19	3-5	1-1	3-3	2	0	1	1	10
Terrell Ard Jr.	Forward	23	4-4	0-0	1-2	3	3	1	0	9
George Tinsley	Forward	34	3-5	0-1	0-0	4	3	1	1	6
Ronald Jessamy	F	9	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	4
Frantisek Barton	Forward	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

76.4Possessions76.4

125.7Offensive Efficiency120.4

120.4Defensive Efficiency125.7

5.2Net Efficiency-5.2

57.7%Effective FG%73.3%

63.6%True Shooting %72.8%

13.3%Turnover Rate27.2%

33.8%Free Throw Rate19.0%

52.3%3-Point Rate43.1%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Fairfield won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 76.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.