UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.0%UCF

69.0%TCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTCU -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINETCU -223

TCU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 75

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScoreTCU 82

Team Comparison

UCFMetricTCU

57.1MMH Power Index59.7

113.3Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.0Defensive Efficiency102.7

3.3Net Efficiency7.5

6.6Strength of Schedule4.6

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

71.2Tempo70.2

53.0%Effective FG%50.5%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.3%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

31.1%Free Throw Rate38.3%

2.4Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

TCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.7–57.1), defensive efficiency (102.7–110.0), net efficiency (7.5–3.3), recent form (2.2–-3.8).

UCF COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.3–110.2), strength of schedule (6.6–4.6), shooting efficiency (53.0–50.5).

Final

UCF

79—77

TCU

UCF by 2 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATTCU

27-55FG24-57

49.0%FG%42.0%

6-143PT8-20

43.0%3PT%40.0%

19-24FT21-32

79.0%FT%66.0%

34Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists19

13Turnovers11

6Steals8

5Blocks—

24Fouls20

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Johnson	Guard	36	9-13	5-6	10-10	9	2	1	0	33
Jaylin Sellers	G	32	6-11	1-3	1-1	1	1	1	0	14
Ibrahima Diallo	Forward	27	6-8	0-0	0-1	5	1	1	2	12
C.J. Walker	Forward	20	2-7	0-1	3-4	3	2	0	0	7
Shemarri Allen	Guard	32	2-8	0-1	0-2	4	6	3	1	4
Omar Payne	Forward	13	1-2	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	2	4
Antwann Jones	G	13	0-2	0-1	3-4	0	0	0	0	3
Marchelus Avery	Forward	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Thierno Sylla	C	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	5	0	0	0	0
DeMarr Langford Jr.	Not Available	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jameer Nelson Jr.	Guard	25	5-7	4-5	1-2	0	4	4	15
JaKobe Coles	Forward	25	5-11	2-4	2-2	2	1	1	14
Emanuel Miller	Forward	28	4-9	0-2	5-6	4	2	0	13
Chuck O'Bannon Jr.	Forward	18	4-8	2-4	1-2	3	4	0	11
Micah Peavy	Not Available	32	3-11	0-2	2-3	2	4	2	8
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	24	0-0	0-0	6-9	9	0	1	6
Xavier Cork	Forward	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	4
Essam Mostafa	Forward	5	1-4	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	3
Trevian Tennyson	Guard	13	0-3	0-2	2-3	2	2	0	2
Avery Anderson III	Guard	21	0-2	0-1	1-3	4	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

113.2Offensive Efficiency110.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency113.2

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

54.5%Effective FG%49.1%

59.5%True Shooting %53.3%

19.0%Turnover Rate15.4%

43.6%Free Throw Rate56.1%

25.5%3-Point Rate35.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.73

Game Summary

UCF won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.